President Automobile (Thailand) Market Value

PACO Stock  THB 1.39  0.01  0.72%   
President Automobile's market value is the price at which a share of President Automobile trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of President Automobile Industries investors about its performance. President Automobile is selling for 1.39 as of the 25th of November 2024. This is a 0.72 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 1.36.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of President Automobile Industries and determine expected loss or profit from investing in President Automobile over a given investment horizon. Check out President Automobile Correlation, President Automobile Volatility and President Automobile Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on President Automobile.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between President Automobile's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if President Automobile is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, President Automobile's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

President Automobile 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to President Automobile's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of President Automobile.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in President Automobile on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding President Automobile Industries or generate 0.0% return on investment in President Automobile over 30 days. President Automobile is related to or competes with Phol Dhanya, PTT Oil, Pico Public, and Pioneer. President Automobile Industries Public Company Limited produces and distributes replacement automotive air conditioner s... More

President Automobile Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure President Automobile's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess President Automobile Industries upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

President Automobile Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for President Automobile's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as President Automobile's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use President Automobile historical prices to predict the future President Automobile's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.011.382.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.202.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.412.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.331.371.42
Details

President Automobile Backtested Returns

President Automobile maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.12, which implies the firm had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. President Automobile exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check President Automobile's Variance of 1.99, risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,212) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of -0.32, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning President Automobile are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, President Automobile is likely to outperform the market. At this point, President Automobile has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to check President Automobile's standard deviation, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if President Automobile performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.43  

Modest reverse predictability

President Automobile Industries has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between President Automobile time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of President Automobile price movement. The serial correlation of -0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current President Automobile price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.43
Spearman Rank Test-0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

President Automobile lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is President Automobile stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting President Automobile's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of President Automobile returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that President Automobile has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

President Automobile regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If President Automobile stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if President Automobile stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in President Automobile stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

President Automobile Lagged Returns

When evaluating President Automobile's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of President Automobile stock have on its future price. President Automobile autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, President Automobile autocorrelation shows the relationship between President Automobile stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in President Automobile Industries.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in President Stock

President Automobile financial ratios help investors to determine whether President Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in President with respect to the benefits of owning President Automobile security.