Pimco Commoditiesplus Strategy Fund Market Value

PCLNX Fund  USD 6.49  0.03  0.46%   
Pimco Commoditiesplus' market value is the price at which a share of Pimco Commoditiesplus trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Pimco Commoditiesplus Strategy investors about its performance. Pimco Commoditiesplus is trading at 6.49 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.46% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 6.52.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Pimco Commoditiesplus Strategy and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Pimco Commoditiesplus over a given investment horizon. Check out Pimco Commoditiesplus Correlation, Pimco Commoditiesplus Volatility and Pimco Commoditiesplus Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Pimco Commoditiesplus.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Pimco Commoditiesplus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pimco Commoditiesplus is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pimco Commoditiesplus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Pimco Commoditiesplus 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pimco Commoditiesplus' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pimco Commoditiesplus.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Pimco Commoditiesplus on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pimco Commoditiesplus Strategy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pimco Commoditiesplus over 30 days. Pimco Commoditiesplus is related to or competes with Commodityrealreturn, Pimco Commodityrealret, Pimco Commoditiesplus, Pimco Commoditiesplus, and . The fund invests in commodity-linked derivative instruments backed by an actively managed, low volatility portfolio of F... More

Pimco Commoditiesplus Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pimco Commoditiesplus' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pimco Commoditiesplus Strategy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Pimco Commoditiesplus Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pimco Commoditiesplus' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pimco Commoditiesplus' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pimco Commoditiesplus historical prices to predict the future Pimco Commoditiesplus' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.416.497.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.956.037.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.406.487.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.366.486.60
Details

Pimco Commoditiesplus Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Pimco Mutual Fund to be not too volatile. Pimco Commoditiesplus maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0053, which implies the entity had a 0.0053% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Pimco Commoditiesplus, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Pimco Commoditiesplus' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0037, coefficient of variation of 94668.27, and Semi Deviation of 1.15 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0058%. The fund holds a Beta of -0.0133, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Pimco Commoditiesplus are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Pimco Commoditiesplus is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.64  

Good predictability

Pimco Commoditiesplus Strategy has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pimco Commoditiesplus time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pimco Commoditiesplus price movement. The serial correlation of 0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Pimco Commoditiesplus price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.64
Spearman Rank Test0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Pimco Commoditiesplus lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Pimco Commoditiesplus mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pimco Commoditiesplus' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pimco Commoditiesplus returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pimco Commoditiesplus has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Pimco Commoditiesplus regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pimco Commoditiesplus mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pimco Commoditiesplus mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pimco Commoditiesplus mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Pimco Commoditiesplus Lagged Returns

When evaluating Pimco Commoditiesplus' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pimco Commoditiesplus mutual fund have on its future price. Pimco Commoditiesplus autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pimco Commoditiesplus autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pimco Commoditiesplus mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pimco Commoditiesplus Strategy.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Pimco Mutual Fund

Pimco Commoditiesplus financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pimco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pimco with respect to the benefits of owning Pimco Commoditiesplus security.
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