Gnma Fund Institutional Fund Market Value

PDMIX Fund  USD 9.26  0.01  0.11%   
Gnma Fund's market value is the price at which a share of Gnma Fund trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gnma Fund Institutional investors about its performance. Gnma Fund is trading at 9.26 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.11 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.25.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gnma Fund Institutional and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gnma Fund over a given investment horizon. Check out Gnma Fund Correlation, Gnma Fund Volatility and Gnma Fund Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gnma Fund.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Gnma Fund's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gnma Fund is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gnma Fund's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gnma Fund 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gnma Fund's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gnma Fund.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gnma Fund on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gnma Fund Institutional or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gnma Fund over 30 days. Gnma Fund is related to or competes with Touchstone Ultra, Vanguard Institutional, Guggenheim Long, Maryland Short-term, Short-intermediate, Rbc Short, and Ultra-short Fixed. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its assets in a diversified portfolio of securities of varying maturiti... More

Gnma Fund Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gnma Fund's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gnma Fund Institutional upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gnma Fund Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gnma Fund's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gnma Fund's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gnma Fund historical prices to predict the future Gnma Fund's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.999.269.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.039.309.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.979.249.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.259.269.27
Details

Gnma Fund Institutional Backtested Returns

Gnma Fund Institutional holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.11, which attests that the entity had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Gnma Fund Institutional exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Gnma Fund's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), market risk adjusted performance of 1.48, and Standard Deviation of 0.2741 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0242, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Gnma Fund are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Gnma Fund is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.26  

Poor predictability

Gnma Fund Institutional has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gnma Fund time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gnma Fund Institutional price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Gnma Fund price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.26
Spearman Rank Test0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Gnma Fund Institutional lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gnma Fund mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gnma Fund's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gnma Fund returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gnma Fund has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gnma Fund regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gnma Fund mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gnma Fund mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gnma Fund mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gnma Fund Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gnma Fund's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gnma Fund mutual fund have on its future price. Gnma Fund autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gnma Fund autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gnma Fund mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gnma Fund Institutional.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Gnma Mutual Fund

Gnma Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gnma Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gnma with respect to the benefits of owning Gnma Fund security.
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