PepsiCo (Germany) Market Value
| PEP Stock | 144.68 2.36 1.61% |
| Symbol | PepsiCo |
PepsiCo 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to PepsiCo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of PepsiCo.
| 01/01/2024 |
| 12/26/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in PepsiCo on January 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PepsiCo or generate 0.0% return on investment in PepsiCo over 360 days. PepsiCo is related to or competes with Hemisphere Energy, United Internet, Iridium Communications, Gamma Communications, DISTRICT METALS, Cogent Communications, and Perseus Mining. More
PepsiCo Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure PepsiCo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PepsiCo upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.54) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.55 |
PepsiCo Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for PepsiCo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as PepsiCo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use PepsiCo historical prices to predict the future PepsiCo's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.32) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PepsiCo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PepsiCo Backtested Returns
PepsiCo maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0785, which implies the firm had a -0.0785% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. PepsiCo exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check PepsiCo's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,016), variance of 0.9485, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.33, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, PepsiCo's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding PepsiCo is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, PepsiCo has a negative expected return of -0.0755%. Please make sure to check PepsiCo's skewness, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and price action indicator , to decide if PepsiCo performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.11 |
Insignificant predictability
PepsiCo has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between PepsiCo time series from 1st of January 2024 to 29th of June 2024 and 29th of June 2024 to 26th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PepsiCo price movement. The serial correlation of 0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current PepsiCo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.11 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.11 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 13.1 |
PepsiCo lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is PepsiCo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting PepsiCo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of PepsiCo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that PepsiCo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
PepsiCo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If PepsiCo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if PepsiCo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in PepsiCo stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
PepsiCo Lagged Returns
When evaluating PepsiCo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of PepsiCo stock have on its future price. PepsiCo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, PepsiCo autocorrelation shows the relationship between PepsiCo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PepsiCo.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for PepsiCo Stock Analysis
When running PepsiCo's price analysis, check to measure PepsiCo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PepsiCo is operating at the current time. Most of PepsiCo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PepsiCo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PepsiCo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PepsiCo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.