International Small Pany Fund Market Value

PFISX Fund  USD 10.24  0.05  0.49%   
International Small's market value is the price at which a share of International Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of International Small Pany investors about its performance. International Small is trading at 10.24 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.49% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.29.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of International Small Pany and determine expected loss or profit from investing in International Small over a given investment horizon. Check out International Small Correlation, International Small Volatility and International Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on International Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between International Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if International Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, International Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

International Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to International Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of International Small.
0.00
09/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in International Small on September 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding International Small Pany or generate 0.0% return on investment in International Small over 60 days. International Small is related to or competes with Vanguard Global, Vanguard Developed, Vanguard Emerging, HUMANA, Barloworld, Morningstar Unconstrained, and High-yield Municipal. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment p... More

International Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure International Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess International Small Pany upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

International Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for International Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as International Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use International Small historical prices to predict the future International Small's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of International Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.3910.2411.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.5210.3711.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.1610.0210.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.1710.4510.72
Details

International Small Pany Backtested Returns

International Small Pany holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.11, which attests that the entity had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. International Small Pany exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out International Small's Standard Deviation of 0.8773, market risk adjusted performance of 3.74, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0195, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning International Small are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, International Small is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.62  

Good predictability

International Small Pany has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between International Small time series from 23rd of September 2024 to 23rd of October 2024 and 23rd of October 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of International Small Pany price movement. The serial correlation of 0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current International Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.62
Spearman Rank Test0.62
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

International Small Pany lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is International Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting International Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of International Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that International Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

International Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If International Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if International Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in International Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

International Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating International Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of International Small mutual fund have on its future price. International Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, International Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between International Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in International Small Pany.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in International Mutual Fund

International Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether International Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in International with respect to the benefits of owning International Small security.
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