Smallcap Growth Fund Market Value
| PGRTX Fund | USD 15.61 0.22 1.43% |
| Symbol | Smallcap |
Smallcap Growth 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Smallcap Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Smallcap Growth.
| 01/01/2025 |
| 01/31/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Smallcap Growth on January 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Smallcap Growth Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Smallcap Growth over 30 days. Smallcap Growth is related to or competes with Lord Abbett, Ab Bond, Short Duration, Fidelity Sai, and Guggenheim Managed. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment p... More
Smallcap Growth Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Smallcap Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Smallcap Growth Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.98 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.94) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.7 |
Smallcap Growth Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Smallcap Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Smallcap Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Smallcap Growth historical prices to predict the future Smallcap Growth's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.0009) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.19) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.05) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Smallcap Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Smallcap Growth Backtested Returns
Smallcap Growth owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of close to zero, which indicates the fund had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Smallcap Growth Fund exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Smallcap Growth's Coefficient Of Variation of (14,852), variance of 2.5, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.0009) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.38, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Smallcap Growth's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Smallcap Growth is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.34 |
Below average predictability
Smallcap Growth Fund has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Smallcap Growth time series from 1st of January 2025 to 16th of January 2025 and 16th of January 2025 to 31st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Smallcap Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Smallcap Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.34 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.55 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.03 |
Smallcap Growth lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Smallcap Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Smallcap Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Smallcap Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Smallcap Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Smallcap Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Smallcap Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Smallcap Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Smallcap Growth mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Smallcap Growth Lagged Returns
When evaluating Smallcap Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Smallcap Growth mutual fund have on its future price. Smallcap Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Smallcap Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Smallcap Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Smallcap Growth Fund.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Smallcap Mutual Fund
Smallcap Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Smallcap Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Smallcap with respect to the benefits of owning Smallcap Growth security.
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