Midcap Growth Fund Market Value

PGWIX Fund  USD 12.46  0.01  0.08%   
Midcap Growth's market value is the price at which a share of Midcap Growth trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Midcap Growth Fund investors about its performance. Midcap Growth is trading at 12.46 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.08 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.47.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Midcap Growth Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Midcap Growth over a given investment horizon. Check out Midcap Growth Correlation, Midcap Growth Volatility and Midcap Growth Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Midcap Growth.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Midcap Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Midcap Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Midcap Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Midcap Growth 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Midcap Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Midcap Growth.
0.00
05/07/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 6 months and 24 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Midcap Growth on May 7, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Midcap Growth Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Midcap Growth over 570 days. Midcap Growth is related to or competes with Strategic Asset, Strategic Asset, Strategic Asset, Strategic Asset, Strategic Asset, International Equity, and Strategic Asset. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment p... More

Midcap Growth Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Midcap Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Midcap Growth Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Midcap Growth Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Midcap Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Midcap Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Midcap Growth historical prices to predict the future Midcap Growth's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.4312.4613.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.1413.1714.20
Details

Midcap Growth Backtested Returns

Midcap Growth appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Midcap Growth has Sharpe Ratio of 0.34, which conveys that the entity had a 0.34% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Midcap Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please exercise Midcap Growth's Mean Deviation of 0.7597, risk adjusted performance of 0.2357, and Downside Deviation of 0.9279 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.09, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Midcap Growth returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Midcap Growth is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.57  

Modest predictability

Midcap Growth Fund has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Midcap Growth time series from 7th of May 2023 to 16th of February 2024 and 16th of February 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Midcap Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current Midcap Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.57
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.37

Midcap Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Midcap Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Midcap Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Midcap Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Midcap Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Midcap Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Midcap Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Midcap Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Midcap Growth mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Midcap Growth Lagged Returns

When evaluating Midcap Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Midcap Growth mutual fund have on its future price. Midcap Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Midcap Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Midcap Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Midcap Growth Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Midcap Mutual Fund

Midcap Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Midcap Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Midcap with respect to the benefits of owning Midcap Growth security.
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