Virtus High Yield Fund Market Value

PHCIX Fund  USD 3.90  0.00  0.00%   
Virtus High's market value is the price at which a share of Virtus High trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Virtus High Yield investors about its performance. Virtus High is trading at 3.90 as of the 3rd of December 2024; that is No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 3.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Virtus High Yield and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Virtus High over a given investment horizon. Check out Virtus High Correlation, Virtus High Volatility and Virtus High Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Virtus High.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Virtus High's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Virtus High is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virtus High's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Virtus High 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Virtus High's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Virtus High.
0.00
06/12/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 24 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Virtus High on June 12, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Virtus High Yield or generate 0.0% return on investment in Virtus High over 540 days. Virtus High is related to or competes with Columbia Real, Deutsche Real, Virtus Real, Sa Real, Prudential Real, Simt Real, and Jhancock Real. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its assets in high yield fixed income securities More

Virtus High Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Virtus High's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Virtus High Yield upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Virtus High Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Virtus High's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Virtus High's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Virtus High historical prices to predict the future Virtus High's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.693.904.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.373.584.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.683.894.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.873.883.90
Details

Virtus High Yield Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider VIRTUS Mutual Fund to be very steady. Virtus High Yield owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.16, which indicates the fund had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for Virtus High Yield, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Virtus High's Standard Deviation of 0.2144, downside deviation of 0.268, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1155 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0331%. The entity has a beta of -0.0169, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Virtus High are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Virtus High is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.87  

Very good predictability

Virtus High Yield has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Virtus High time series from 12th of June 2023 to 8th of March 2024 and 8th of March 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Virtus High Yield price movement. The serial correlation of 0.87 indicates that approximately 87.0% of current Virtus High price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.87
Spearman Rank Test0.85
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Virtus High Yield lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Virtus High mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Virtus High's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Virtus High returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Virtus High has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Virtus High regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Virtus High mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Virtus High mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Virtus High mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Virtus High Lagged Returns

When evaluating Virtus High's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Virtus High mutual fund have on its future price. Virtus High autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Virtus High autocorrelation shows the relationship between Virtus High mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Virtus High Yield.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in VIRTUS Mutual Fund

Virtus High financial ratios help investors to determine whether VIRTUS Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VIRTUS with respect to the benefits of owning Virtus High security.
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