Primary Health (UK) Market Value

PHP Stock   94.10  1.10  1.18%   
Primary Health's market value is the price at which a share of Primary Health trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Primary Health Properties investors about its performance. Primary Health is trading at 94.10 as of the 23rd of November 2024, a 1.18 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 93.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Primary Health Properties and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Primary Health over a given investment horizon. Check out Primary Health Correlation, Primary Health Volatility and Primary Health Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Primary Health.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Primary Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Primary Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Primary Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Primary Health 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Primary Health's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Primary Health.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Primary Health on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Primary Health Properties or generate 0.0% return on investment in Primary Health over 30 days. Primary Health is related to or competes with Derwent London, Hammerson PLC, Supermarket Income, and Diversified Energy. Primary Health is entity of United Kingdom More

Primary Health Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Primary Health's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Primary Health Properties upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Primary Health Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Primary Health's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Primary Health's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Primary Health historical prices to predict the future Primary Health's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.0594.0895.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.0380.06103.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.0994.1395.16
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.621.691.75
Details

Primary Health Properties Backtested Returns

Primary Health Properties maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0347, which implies the firm had a -0.0347% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Primary Health Properties exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Primary Health's Variance of 1.04, coefficient of variation of (3,081), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.32, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Primary Health's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Primary Health is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Primary Health Properties has a negative expected return of -0.0359%. Please make sure to check Primary Health's treynor ratio, accumulation distribution, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if Primary Health Properties performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.57  

Modest predictability

Primary Health Properties has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Primary Health time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Primary Health Properties price movement. The serial correlation of 0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current Primary Health price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.57
Spearman Rank Test0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.9

Primary Health Properties lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Primary Health stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Primary Health's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Primary Health returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Primary Health has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Primary Health regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Primary Health stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Primary Health stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Primary Health stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Primary Health Lagged Returns

When evaluating Primary Health's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Primary Health stock have on its future price. Primary Health autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Primary Health autocorrelation shows the relationship between Primary Health stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Primary Health Properties.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Primary Stock

Primary Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Primary Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Primary with respect to the benefits of owning Primary Health security.