Polar Capital Emerging Fund Market Value

POLEX Fund  USD 8.26  0.05  0.60%   
Polar Capital's market value is the price at which a share of Polar Capital trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Polar Capital Emerging investors about its performance. Polar Capital is trading at 8.26 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.6 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.31.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Polar Capital Emerging and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Polar Capital over a given investment horizon. Check out Polar Capital Correlation, Polar Capital Volatility and Polar Capital Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Polar Capital.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Polar Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Polar Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Polar Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Polar Capital 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Polar Capital's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Polar Capital.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Polar Capital on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Polar Capital Emerging or generate 0.0% return on investment in Polar Capital over 30 days. Polar Capital is related to or competes with Ms Global, Rbc Ultra-short, The Hartford, Ultra-short Fixed, Us Vector, Small Cap, and Gmo Global. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets for investment purposes in equity... More

Polar Capital Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Polar Capital's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Polar Capital Emerging upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Polar Capital Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Polar Capital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Polar Capital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Polar Capital historical prices to predict the future Polar Capital's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Polar Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.158.269.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.918.029.13
Details

Polar Capital Emerging Backtested Returns

Polar Capital Emerging maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0185, which implies the entity had a -0.0185% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Polar Capital Emerging exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Polar Capital's Variance of 1.19, insignificant risk adjusted performance, and Coefficient Of Variation of (16,018) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of -0.0279, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Polar Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Polar Capital is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.43  

Average predictability

Polar Capital Emerging has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Polar Capital time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Polar Capital Emerging price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current Polar Capital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.43
Spearman Rank Test0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Polar Capital Emerging lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Polar Capital mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Polar Capital's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Polar Capital returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Polar Capital has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Polar Capital regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Polar Capital mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Polar Capital mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Polar Capital mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Polar Capital Lagged Returns

When evaluating Polar Capital's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Polar Capital mutual fund have on its future price. Polar Capital autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Polar Capital autocorrelation shows the relationship between Polar Capital mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Polar Capital Emerging.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Polar Mutual Fund

Polar Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Polar Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Polar with respect to the benefits of owning Polar Capital security.
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