Premier Community Bankshares Stock Market Value
| PREM Stock | 0.03 0.01 21.71% |
| Symbol | Premier |
Premier Community 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Premier Community's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Premier Community.
| 11/27/2025 |
| 12/27/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Premier Community on November 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Premier Community Bankshares or generate 0.0% return on investment in Premier Community over 30 days.
Premier Community Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Premier Community's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Premier Community Bankshares upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 15.38 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0936 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 74.44 | |||
| Value At Risk | (26.47) | |||
| Potential Upside | 27.78 |
Premier Community Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Premier Community's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Premier Community's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Premier Community historical prices to predict the future Premier Community's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0794 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.62 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0851 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.45) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Premier Community's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Premier Community Backtested Returns
Premier Community appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Premier Community maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0371, which implies the firm had a 0.0371 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Premier Community's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.52% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate Premier Community's Coefficient Of Variation of 1003.1, risk adjusted performance of 0.0794, and Semi Deviation of 12.13 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Premier Community holds a performance score of 2. The company holds a Beta of -3.1, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Premier Community are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Premier Community is expected to outperform it. Please check Premier Community's total risk alpha and the relationship between the potential upside and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Premier Community's historical price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.30 |
Below average predictability
Premier Community Bankshares has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Premier Community time series from 27th of November 2025 to 12th of December 2025 and 12th of December 2025 to 27th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Premier Community price movement. The serial correlation of 0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Premier Community price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.3 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.08 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Premier Community lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Premier Community pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Premier Community's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Premier Community returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Premier Community has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Premier Community regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Premier Community pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Premier Community pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Premier Community pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Premier Community Lagged Returns
When evaluating Premier Community's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Premier Community pink sheet have on its future price. Premier Community autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Premier Community autocorrelation shows the relationship between Premier Community pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Premier Community Bankshares.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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