Real Return Fund Market Value

PRTNX Fund  USD 10.33  0.03  0.29%   
Real Return's market value is the price at which a share of Real Return trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Real Return Fund investors about its performance. Real Return is trading at 10.33 as of the 5th of March 2025; that is 0.29% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.36.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Real Return Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Real Return over a given investment horizon. Check out Real Return Correlation, Real Return Volatility and Real Return Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Real Return.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Real Return's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Real Return is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Real Return's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Real Return 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Real Return's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Real Return.
0.00
03/16/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
03/05/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Real Return on March 16, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Real Return Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Real Return over 720 days. Real Return is related to or competes with Pace High, Barings Us, Metropolitan West, Ab High, Access Flex, Prudential High, and Gmo High. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in inflation-indexed bonds of varying maturities issued ... More

Real Return Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Real Return's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Real Return Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Real Return Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Real Return's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Real Return's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Real Return historical prices to predict the future Real Return's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0410.3310.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0410.3310.62
Details

Real Return Fund Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Real Mutual Fund to be very steady. Real Return Fund maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.11, which implies the entity had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Real Return Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Real Return's Semi Deviation of 0.0891, risk adjusted performance of 0.118, and Coefficient Of Variation of 582.45 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0302%. The fund holds a Beta of 0.0843, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Real Return's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Real Return is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.45  

Modest reverse predictability

Real Return Fund has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Real Return time series from 16th of March 2023 to 10th of March 2024 and 10th of March 2024 to 5th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Real Return Fund price movement. The serial correlation of -0.45 indicates that just about 45.0% of current Real Return price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.45
Spearman Rank Test-0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04
Real ReturnsReal Lagged ReturnsDiversified AwayReal ReturnsReal Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

Real Return Fund lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Real Return mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Real Return's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Real Return returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Real Return has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15MayJulSepNov2025Mar-3%-2%-1%0%1%2%3%4%5%6% 1
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
       Timeline  

Real Return regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Real Return mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Real Return mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Real Return mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15MayJulSepNov2025Mar9.69.79.89.910.010.110.2
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
       Timeline  

Real Return Lagged Returns

When evaluating Real Return's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Real Return mutual fund have on its future price. Real Return autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Real Return autocorrelation shows the relationship between Real Return mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Real Return Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15AprJulOct2024AprJulOct20259.29.49.69.810.010.210.4
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Real Mutual Fund

Real Return financial ratios help investors to determine whether Real Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Real with respect to the benefits of owning Real Return security.
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