Performance Trust Municipal Fund Market Value

PTIMX Fund  USD 22.94  0.01  0.04%   
Performance Trust's market value is the price at which a share of Performance Trust trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Performance Trust Municipal investors about its performance. Performance Trust is trading at 22.94 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.04 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 22.93.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Performance Trust Municipal and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Performance Trust over a given investment horizon. Check out Performance Trust Correlation, Performance Trust Volatility and Performance Trust Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Performance Trust.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Performance Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Performance Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Performance Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Performance Trust 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Performance Trust's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Performance Trust.
0.00
12/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Performance Trust on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Performance Trust Municipal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Performance Trust over 720 days. Performance Trust is related to or competes with Performance Trust, Performance Trust, Sierra Strategic, Nuveen High, and Guggenheim Total. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in investment-grade quality municipal securities that pay interes... More

Performance Trust Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Performance Trust's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Performance Trust Municipal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Performance Trust Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Performance Trust's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Performance Trust's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Performance Trust historical prices to predict the future Performance Trust's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.6422.9423.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.5221.8225.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.6422.9423.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.9322.9422.95
Details

Performance Trust Backtested Returns

Performance Trust maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0259, which implies the entity had a -0.0259% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Performance Trust exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Performance Trust's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), variance of 0.0852, and Coefficient Of Variation of (5,296) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of -0.1, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Performance Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Performance Trust is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.5  

Modest reverse predictability

Performance Trust Municipal has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Performance Trust time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Performance Trust price movement. The serial correlation of -0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Performance Trust price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.5
Spearman Rank Test-0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.14

Performance Trust lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Performance Trust mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Performance Trust's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Performance Trust returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Performance Trust has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Performance Trust regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Performance Trust mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Performance Trust mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Performance Trust mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Performance Trust Lagged Returns

When evaluating Performance Trust's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Performance Trust mutual fund have on its future price. Performance Trust autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Performance Trust autocorrelation shows the relationship between Performance Trust mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Performance Trust Municipal.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Performance Mutual Fund

Performance Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether Performance Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Performance with respect to the benefits of owning Performance Trust security.
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