Payden Global Low Fund Market Value

PYGSX Fund  USD 9.67  0.04  0.41%   
Payden Global's market value is the price at which a share of Payden Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Payden Global Low investors about its performance. Payden Global is trading at 9.67 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.41% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.71.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Payden Global Low and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Payden Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Payden Global Correlation, Payden Global Volatility and Payden Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Payden Global.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Payden Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Payden Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Payden Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Payden Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Payden Global's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Payden Global.
0.00
12/08/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Payden Global on December 8, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Payden Global Low or generate 0.0% return on investment in Payden Global over 720 days. Payden Global is related to or competes with Icon Financial, Davis Financial, Financials Ultrasector, Prudential Jennison, and Royce Global. The fund invests in a wide variety of debt instruments and income-producing securities More

Payden Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Payden Global's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Payden Global Low upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Payden Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Payden Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Payden Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Payden Global historical prices to predict the future Payden Global's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Payden Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.619.719.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.838.9310.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.619.719.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.679.699.71
Details

Payden Global Low Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Payden Mutual Fund to be very steady. Payden Global Low maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0979, which implies the entity had a 0.0979% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Payden Global Low, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Payden Global's Downside Deviation of 0.1287, risk adjusted performance of 0.0057, and Standard Deviation of 0.0986 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0099%. The fund holds a Beta of 0.0103, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Payden Global's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Payden Global is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.83  

Very good predictability

Payden Global Low has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Payden Global time series from 8th of December 2022 to 3rd of December 2023 and 3rd of December 2023 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Payden Global Low price movement. The serial correlation of 0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current Payden Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.83
Spearman Rank Test0.9
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Payden Global Low lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Payden Global mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Payden Global's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Payden Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Payden Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Payden Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Payden Global mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Payden Global mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Payden Global mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Payden Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Payden Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Payden Global mutual fund have on its future price. Payden Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Payden Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Payden Global mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Payden Global Low.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Payden Mutual Fund

Payden Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Payden Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Payden with respect to the benefits of owning Payden Global security.
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