Pzena Small Cap Fund Market Value

PZVSX Fund  USD 16.20  0.04  0.25%   
Pzena Small's market value is the price at which a share of Pzena Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Pzena Small Cap investors about its performance. Pzena Small is trading at 16.20 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.25 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 16.16.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Pzena Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Pzena Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Pzena Small Correlation, Pzena Small Volatility and Pzena Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Pzena Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Pzena Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pzena Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pzena Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Pzena Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pzena Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pzena Small.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Pzena Small on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pzena Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pzena Small over 30 days. Pzena Small is related to or competes with Short-term Government, Virtus Seix, John Hancock, Us Government, and Goldman Sachs. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in stocks of small-cap companies More

Pzena Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pzena Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pzena Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Pzena Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pzena Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pzena Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pzena Small historical prices to predict the future Pzena Small's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pzena Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.7516.2017.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.5215.9717.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.7316.1817.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.3615.3816.40
Details

Pzena Small Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Pzena Mutual Fund to be very steady. Pzena Small Cap maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0905, which implies the entity had a 0.0905% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Pzena Small Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Pzena Small's Semi Deviation of 1.09, coefficient of variation of 1336.02, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0621 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. The fund holds a Beta of 1.58, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Pzena Small will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.85  

Very good predictability

Pzena Small Cap has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pzena Small time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pzena Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Pzena Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.85
Spearman Rank Test0.74
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.11

Pzena Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Pzena Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pzena Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pzena Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pzena Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Pzena Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pzena Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pzena Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pzena Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Pzena Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Pzena Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pzena Small mutual fund have on its future price. Pzena Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pzena Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pzena Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pzena Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Pzena Mutual Fund

Pzena Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pzena Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pzena with respect to the benefits of owning Pzena Small security.
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