Aqr Managed Futures Fund Market Value

QMHIX Fund  USD 8.39  0.11  1.33%   
Aqr Managed's market value is the price at which a share of Aqr Managed trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aqr Managed Futures investors about its performance. Aqr Managed is trading at 8.39 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 1.33 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.28.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aqr Managed Futures and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aqr Managed over a given investment horizon. Check out Aqr Managed Correlation, Aqr Managed Volatility and Aqr Managed Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aqr Managed.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aqr Managed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aqr Managed is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aqr Managed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aqr Managed 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aqr Managed's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aqr Managed.
0.00
09/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aqr Managed on September 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aqr Managed Futures or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aqr Managed over 60 days. Aqr Managed is related to or competes with Aqr Large, Aqr Large, Aqr International, Aqr International, Aqr International, Aqr Long-short, and Aqr Long-short. The adviser allocates the funds assets among four major asset classes More

Aqr Managed Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aqr Managed's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aqr Managed Futures upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aqr Managed Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aqr Managed's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aqr Managed's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aqr Managed historical prices to predict the future Aqr Managed's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.718.399.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.658.339.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.718.399.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.258.358.46
Details

Aqr Managed Futures Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Aqr Mutual Fund to be very steady. Aqr Managed Futures secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Aqr Managed Futures, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Aqr Managed's Mean Deviation of 0.5448, risk adjusted performance of 0.089, and Downside Deviation of 0.7036 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0735%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.54, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Aqr Managed's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aqr Managed is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.28  

Weak reverse predictability

Aqr Managed Futures has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aqr Managed time series from 25th of September 2024 to 25th of October 2024 and 25th of October 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aqr Managed Futures price movement. The serial correlation of -0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Aqr Managed price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.28
Spearman Rank Test-0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Aqr Managed Futures lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aqr Managed mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aqr Managed's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aqr Managed returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aqr Managed has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aqr Managed regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aqr Managed mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aqr Managed mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aqr Managed mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aqr Managed Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aqr Managed's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aqr Managed mutual fund have on its future price. Aqr Managed autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aqr Managed autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aqr Managed mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aqr Managed Futures.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Aqr Mutual Fund

Aqr Managed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aqr Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aqr with respect to the benefits of owning Aqr Managed security.
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