Aqr Risk Balanced Modities Fund Market Value

QRCRX Fund  USD 8.90  0.01  0.11%   
Aqr Risk-balanced's market value is the price at which a share of Aqr Risk-balanced trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aqr Risk Balanced Modities investors about its performance. Aqr Risk-balanced is trading at 8.90 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 0.11% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.89.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aqr Risk Balanced Modities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aqr Risk-balanced over a given investment horizon. Check out Aqr Risk-balanced Correlation, Aqr Risk-balanced Volatility and Aqr Risk-balanced Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aqr Risk-balanced.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aqr Risk-balanced's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aqr Risk-balanced is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aqr Risk-balanced's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aqr Risk-balanced 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aqr Risk-balanced's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aqr Risk-balanced.
0.00
09/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aqr Risk-balanced on September 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aqr Risk Balanced Modities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aqr Risk-balanced over 90 days. Aqr Risk-balanced is related to or competes with Aqr Large, Aqr Large, Aqr International, Aqr International, Aqr International, Aqr Long-short, and Aqr Long-short. The fund pursues its investment objective by allocating assets among various commodity sectors , precious and base metal... More

Aqr Risk-balanced Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aqr Risk-balanced's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aqr Risk Balanced Modities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aqr Risk-balanced Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aqr Risk-balanced's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aqr Risk-balanced's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aqr Risk-balanced historical prices to predict the future Aqr Risk-balanced's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.088.909.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.428.249.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.098.919.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.838.908.98
Details

Aqr Risk Balanced Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Aqr Mutual Fund to be very steady. Aqr Risk Balanced secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Aqr Risk Balanced Modities, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Aqr Risk-balanced's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0632, mean deviation of 0.6266, and Downside Deviation of 0.9807 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0863%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0428, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Aqr Risk-balanced are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Aqr Risk-balanced is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.52  

Good reverse predictability

Aqr Risk Balanced Modities has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aqr Risk-balanced time series from 2nd of September 2024 to 17th of October 2024 and 17th of October 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aqr Risk Balanced price movement. The serial correlation of -0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Aqr Risk-balanced price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Aqr Risk Balanced lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aqr Risk-balanced mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aqr Risk-balanced's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aqr Risk-balanced returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aqr Risk-balanced has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aqr Risk-balanced regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aqr Risk-balanced mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aqr Risk-balanced mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aqr Risk-balanced mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aqr Risk-balanced Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aqr Risk-balanced's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aqr Risk-balanced mutual fund have on its future price. Aqr Risk-balanced autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aqr Risk-balanced autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aqr Risk-balanced mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aqr Risk Balanced Modities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Aqr Mutual Fund

Aqr Risk-balanced financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aqr Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aqr with respect to the benefits of owning Aqr Risk-balanced security.
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