Allianzgi Health Sciences Fund Market Value

RAGHX Fund  USD 28.60  0.25  0.88%   
Allianzgi Health's market value is the price at which a share of Allianzgi Health trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Allianzgi Health Sciences investors about its performance. Allianzgi Health is trading at 28.60 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 0.88% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 28.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Allianzgi Health Sciences and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Allianzgi Health over a given investment horizon. Check out Allianzgi Health Correlation, Allianzgi Health Volatility and Allianzgi Health Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Allianzgi Health.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Allianzgi Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Allianzgi Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Allianzgi Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Allianzgi Health 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Allianzgi Health's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Allianzgi Health.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Allianzgi Health on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Allianzgi Health Sciences or generate 0.0% return on investment in Allianzgi Health over 30 days. Allianzgi Health is related to or competes with Calvert Moderate, Dimensional Retirement, Saat Moderate, American Funds, Blackrock Moderate, and Pro-blend(r) Moderate. The fund seeks to achieve its objective by normally investing at least 80 percent of its net assets in health sciences-r... More

Allianzgi Health Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Allianzgi Health's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Allianzgi Health Sciences upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Allianzgi Health Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Allianzgi Health's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Allianzgi Health's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Allianzgi Health historical prices to predict the future Allianzgi Health's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.8428.6029.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.0728.8329.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.3528.1128.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.5228.7730.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Allianzgi Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Allianzgi Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Allianzgi Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Allianzgi Health Sciences.

Allianzgi Health Sciences Backtested Returns

Allianzgi Health Sciences secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the fund had a -0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Allianzgi Health Sciences exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Allianzgi Health's Standard Deviation of 0.7562, mean deviation of 0.6088, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.1) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.68, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Allianzgi Health's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Allianzgi Health is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.17  

Very weak predictability

Allianzgi Health Sciences has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Allianzgi Health time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Allianzgi Health Sciences price movement. The serial correlation of 0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Allianzgi Health price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.17
Spearman Rank Test-0.89
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.29

Allianzgi Health Sciences lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Allianzgi Health mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Allianzgi Health's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Allianzgi Health returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Allianzgi Health has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Allianzgi Health regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Allianzgi Health mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Allianzgi Health mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Allianzgi Health mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Allianzgi Health Lagged Returns

When evaluating Allianzgi Health's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Allianzgi Health mutual fund have on its future price. Allianzgi Health autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Allianzgi Health autocorrelation shows the relationship between Allianzgi Health mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Allianzgi Health Sciences.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in ALLIANZGI Mutual Fund

Allianzgi Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether ALLIANZGI Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ALLIANZGI with respect to the benefits of owning Allianzgi Health security.
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