Conservative Strategy Fund Market Value
| RCLUX Fund | USD 9.07 0.04 0.44% |
| Symbol | Conservative |
Conservative Strategy 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Conservative Strategy's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Conservative Strategy.
| 10/31/2024 |
| 11/30/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Conservative Strategy on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Conservative Strategy Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Conservative Strategy over 30 days. Conservative Strategy is related to or competes with The Hartford, Baron Health, Eventide Healthcare, Invesco Global, Deutsche Health, Baillie Gifford, and Alger Health. The fund is a fund of funds, which seeks to achieve its objective by investing in a combination of several other Russell... More
Conservative Strategy Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Conservative Strategy's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Conservative Strategy Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.308 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.47) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.44) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.443 |
Conservative Strategy Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Conservative Strategy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Conservative Strategy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Conservative Strategy historical prices to predict the future Conservative Strategy's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.43) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.05) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Conservative Strategy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Conservative Strategy Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Conservative Mutual Fund to be very steady. Conservative Strategy secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0253, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0253% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Conservative Strategy Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Conservative Strategy's Downside Deviation of 0.308, mean deviation of 0.225, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0073%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.12, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Conservative Strategy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Conservative Strategy is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.37 |
Below average predictability
Conservative Strategy Fund has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Conservative Strategy time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Conservative Strategy price movement. The serial correlation of 0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current Conservative Strategy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.37 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.52 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Conservative Strategy lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Conservative Strategy mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Conservative Strategy's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Conservative Strategy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Conservative Strategy has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Conservative Strategy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Conservative Strategy mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Conservative Strategy mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Conservative Strategy mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Conservative Strategy Lagged Returns
When evaluating Conservative Strategy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Conservative Strategy mutual fund have on its future price. Conservative Strategy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Conservative Strategy autocorrelation shows the relationship between Conservative Strategy mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Conservative Strategy Fund.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Conservative Mutual Fund
Conservative Strategy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Conservative Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Conservative with respect to the benefits of owning Conservative Strategy security.
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