Rtl Group Sa Stock Market Value

RGLXY Stock  USD 2.97  0.01  0.34%   
RTL Group's market value is the price at which a share of RTL Group trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of RTL Group SA investors about its performance. RTL Group is trading at 2.97 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.34% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 2.96.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of RTL Group SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in RTL Group over a given investment horizon. Check out RTL Group Correlation, RTL Group Volatility and RTL Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on RTL Group.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between RTL Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RTL Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RTL Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

RTL Group 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to RTL Group's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of RTL Group.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in RTL Group on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding RTL Group SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in RTL Group over 30 days. RTL Group is related to or competes with ITV PLC, IHeartMedia, and ProSiebenSat1 Media. RTL Group S.A., an entertainment company, operates television channels and radio stations, and provides streaming servic... More

RTL Group Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure RTL Group's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess RTL Group SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

RTL Group Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for RTL Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as RTL Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use RTL Group historical prices to predict the future RTL Group's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of RTL Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.472.974.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.452.954.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.272.774.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.973.213.45
Details

RTL Group SA Backtested Returns

RTL Group SA maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.16, which implies the firm had a -0.16% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. RTL Group SA exposes twenty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check RTL Group's risk adjusted performance of (0.12), and Coefficient Of Variation of (626.73) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.15, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, RTL Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding RTL Group is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, RTL Group SA has a negative expected return of -0.24%. Please make sure to check RTL Group's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and day typical price , to decide if RTL Group SA performance from the past will be repeated at some future point.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.71  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

RTL Group SA has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between RTL Group time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of RTL Group SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current RTL Group price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.71
Spearman Rank Test-0.66
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

RTL Group SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is RTL Group pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting RTL Group's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of RTL Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that RTL Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

RTL Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If RTL Group pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if RTL Group pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in RTL Group pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

RTL Group Lagged Returns

When evaluating RTL Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of RTL Group pink sheet have on its future price. RTL Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, RTL Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between RTL Group pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in RTL Group SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for RTL Pink Sheet Analysis

When running RTL Group's price analysis, check to measure RTL Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RTL Group is operating at the current time. Most of RTL Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RTL Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RTL Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RTL Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.