Bodegas Riojanas (Spain) Market Value

RIO Stock  EUR 3.32  0.14  4.05%   
Bodegas Riojanas' market value is the price at which a share of Bodegas Riojanas trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bodegas Riojanas SA investors about its performance. Bodegas Riojanas is trading at 3.32 as of the 25th of November 2024, a 4.05% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 3.46.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bodegas Riojanas SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bodegas Riojanas over a given investment horizon. Check out Bodegas Riojanas Correlation, Bodegas Riojanas Volatility and Bodegas Riojanas Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bodegas Riojanas.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Bodegas Riojanas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bodegas Riojanas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bodegas Riojanas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bodegas Riojanas 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bodegas Riojanas' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bodegas Riojanas.
0.00
06/04/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 25 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bodegas Riojanas on June 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bodegas Riojanas SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bodegas Riojanas over 540 days. Bodegas Riojanas is related to or competes with Borges Agricultural, Arteche Lantegi, Bankinter, NH Hoteles, Tier1 Technology, and Elaia Investment. Bodegas Riojanas, S.A. engages in winemaking business in Spain More

Bodegas Riojanas Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bodegas Riojanas' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bodegas Riojanas SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bodegas Riojanas Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bodegas Riojanas' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bodegas Riojanas' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bodegas Riojanas historical prices to predict the future Bodegas Riojanas' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.633.325.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.523.214.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.513.214.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.233.373.50
Details

Bodegas Riojanas Backtested Returns

Bodegas Riojanas secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.15, which signifies that the company had a -0.15% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Bodegas Riojanas SA exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Bodegas Riojanas' mean deviation of 1.1, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0948, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Bodegas Riojanas are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Bodegas Riojanas is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Bodegas Riojanas has a negative expected return of -0.26%. Please make sure to confirm Bodegas Riojanas' kurtosis, market facilitation index, and the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Bodegas Riojanas performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.45  

Modest reverse predictability

Bodegas Riojanas SA has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bodegas Riojanas time series from 4th of June 2023 to 29th of February 2024 and 29th of February 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bodegas Riojanas price movement. The serial correlation of -0.45 indicates that just about 45.0% of current Bodegas Riojanas price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.45
Spearman Rank Test-0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Bodegas Riojanas lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bodegas Riojanas stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bodegas Riojanas' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bodegas Riojanas returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bodegas Riojanas has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Bodegas Riojanas regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bodegas Riojanas stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bodegas Riojanas stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bodegas Riojanas stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Bodegas Riojanas Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bodegas Riojanas' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bodegas Riojanas stock have on its future price. Bodegas Riojanas autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bodegas Riojanas autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bodegas Riojanas stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bodegas Riojanas SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Bodegas Stock

Bodegas Riojanas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bodegas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bodegas with respect to the benefits of owning Bodegas Riojanas security.