Ross Stores (Mexico) Market Value
| ROST Stock | MXN 2,981 69.30 2.38% |
| Symbol | Ross |
Ross Stores 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ross Stores' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ross Stores.
| 05/27/2024 |
| 11/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ross Stores on May 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ross Stores or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ross Stores over 180 days. Ross Stores is related to or competes with Glencore Plc, IShares Trust, US Bancorp, American Express, Fluor, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, and IShares Trust. Ross Stores, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores under the R... More
Ross Stores Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ross Stores' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ross Stores upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.47 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0973 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.95) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.29 |
Ross Stores Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ross Stores' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ross Stores' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ross Stores historical prices to predict the future Ross Stores' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1182 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4172 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1086 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.69) |
Ross Stores Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Ross Stock to be very steady. Ross Stores maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0128, which implies the firm had a 0.0128% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Ross Stores, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Ross Stores' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1182, coefficient of variation of 690.9, and Semi Deviation of 2.12 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0323%. Ross Stores has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of -0.23, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ross Stores are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ross Stores is likely to outperform the market. Ross Stores right now holds a risk of 2.52%. Please check Ross Stores sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to decide if Ross Stores will be following its historical price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.17 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Ross Stores has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ross Stores time series from 27th of May 2024 to 25th of August 2024 and 25th of August 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ross Stores price movement. The serial correlation of -0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Ross Stores price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.17 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.22 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 11.6 K |
Ross Stores lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Ross Stores stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ross Stores' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ross Stores returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ross Stores has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Ross Stores regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ross Stores stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ross Stores stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ross Stores stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Ross Stores Lagged Returns
When evaluating Ross Stores' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ross Stores stock have on its future price. Ross Stores autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ross Stores autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ross Stores stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ross Stores.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Ross Stock Analysis
When running Ross Stores' price analysis, check to measure Ross Stores' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ross Stores is operating at the current time. Most of Ross Stores' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ross Stores' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ross Stores' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ross Stores to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.