Riverparknext Century Lg Fund Market Value

RPNLX Fund   12.79  0.16  1.24%   
Riverpark/next Century's market value is the price at which a share of Riverpark/next Century trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Riverparknext Century Lg investors about its performance. Riverpark/next Century is trading at 12.79 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 1.24 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.95.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Riverparknext Century Lg and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Riverpark/next Century over a given investment horizon. Check out Riverpark/next Century Correlation, Riverpark/next Century Volatility and Riverpark/next Century Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Riverpark/next Century.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Riverpark/next Century's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Riverpark/next Century is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Riverpark/next Century's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Riverpark/next Century 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Riverpark/next Century's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Riverpark/next Century.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Riverpark/next Century on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Riverparknext Century Lg or generate 0.0% return on investment in Riverpark/next Century over 30 days. Riverpark/next Century is related to or competes with Growth Fund, HUMANA, Barloworld, Morningstar Unconstrained, Thrivent High, High-yield Municipal, and Via Renewables. Under normal market conditions, invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment purpos... More

Riverpark/next Century Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Riverpark/next Century's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Riverparknext Century Lg upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Riverpark/next Century Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Riverpark/next Century's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Riverpark/next Century's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Riverpark/next Century historical prices to predict the future Riverpark/next Century's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6512.7913.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4712.6113.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.6212.7613.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.5812.8213.05
Details

Riverpark/next Century Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Riverpark/next Mutual Fund to be very steady. Riverpark/next Century maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.11, which implies the entity had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Riverpark/next Century, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Riverpark/next Century's Semi Deviation of 1.15, coefficient of variation of 821.55, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0962 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. The fund holds a Beta of 1.0, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Riverpark/next Century returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Riverpark/next Century is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.68  

Good predictability

Riverparknext Century Lg has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Riverpark/next Century time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Riverpark/next Century price movement. The serial correlation of 0.68 indicates that around 68.0% of current Riverpark/next Century price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.68
Spearman Rank Test0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Riverpark/next Century lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Riverpark/next Century mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Riverpark/next Century's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Riverpark/next Century returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Riverpark/next Century has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Riverpark/next Century regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Riverpark/next Century mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Riverpark/next Century mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Riverpark/next Century mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Riverpark/next Century Lagged Returns

When evaluating Riverpark/next Century's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Riverpark/next Century mutual fund have on its future price. Riverpark/next Century autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Riverpark/next Century autocorrelation shows the relationship between Riverpark/next Century mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Riverparknext Century Lg.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Riverpark/next Mutual Fund

Riverpark/next Century financial ratios help investors to determine whether Riverpark/next Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Riverpark/next with respect to the benefits of owning Riverpark/next Century security.
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