Riverparknext Century Lg Fund Market Value

RPNLX Fund   13.02  0.04  0.31%   
Riverparknext Century's market value is the price at which a share of Riverparknext Century trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Riverparknext Century Lg investors about its performance. Riverparknext Century is trading at 13.02 as of the 1st of February 2025; that is 0.31 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.06.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Riverparknext Century Lg and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Riverparknext Century over a given investment horizon. Check out Riverparknext Century Correlation, Riverparknext Century Volatility and Riverparknext Century Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Riverparknext Century.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Riverparknext Century's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Riverparknext Century is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Riverparknext Century's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Riverparknext Century 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Riverparknext Century's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Riverparknext Century.
0.00
08/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
02/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Riverparknext Century on August 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Riverparknext Century Lg or generate 0.0% return on investment in Riverparknext Century over 180 days. Riverparknext Century is related to or competes with Franklin Adjustable, Hartford Municipal, Jpmorgan Ultra-short, California Municipal, and Nuveen Strategic. Under normal market conditions, invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment purpos... More

Riverparknext Century Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Riverparknext Century's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Riverparknext Century Lg upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Riverparknext Century Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Riverparknext Century's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Riverparknext Century's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Riverparknext Century historical prices to predict the future Riverparknext Century's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7213.0214.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6612.9614.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.9713.2714.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.5212.9813.43
Details

Riverparknext Century Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Riverparknext Mutual Fund to be very steady. Riverparknext Century maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.1, which implies the entity had a 0.1 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Riverparknext Century, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Riverparknext Century's Coefficient Of Variation of 1348.81, semi deviation of 1.28, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0655 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. The fund holds a Beta of 0.38, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Riverparknext Century's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Riverparknext Century is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.28  

Poor predictability

Riverparknext Century Lg has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Riverparknext Century time series from 5th of August 2024 to 3rd of November 2024 and 3rd of November 2024 to 1st of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Riverparknext Century price movement. The serial correlation of 0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Riverparknext Century price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.28
Spearman Rank Test0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.07

Riverparknext Century lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Riverparknext Century mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Riverparknext Century's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Riverparknext Century returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Riverparknext Century has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Riverparknext Century regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Riverparknext Century mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Riverparknext Century mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Riverparknext Century mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Riverparknext Century Lagged Returns

When evaluating Riverparknext Century's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Riverparknext Century mutual fund have on its future price. Riverparknext Century autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Riverparknext Century autocorrelation shows the relationship between Riverparknext Century mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Riverparknext Century Lg.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Riverparknext Mutual Fund

Riverparknext Century financial ratios help investors to determine whether Riverparknext Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Riverparknext with respect to the benefits of owning Riverparknext Century security.
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