RTL GROUP (Germany) Market Value
| RRTU Stock | EUR 2.34 0.02 0.86% |
| Symbol | RTL |
RTL GROUP 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to RTL GROUP's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of RTL GROUP.
| 10/31/2024 |
| 11/30/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in RTL GROUP on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding RTL GROUP UNSPADR or generate 0.0% return on investment in RTL GROUP over 30 days. RTL GROUP is related to or competes with WIZZ AIR, Taiwan Semiconductor, GEAR4MUSIC, Ryanair Holdings, MYFAIR GOLD, Magnachip Semiconductor, and Elmos Semiconductor. RTL Group S.A. operates television channels, streaming services, and radio stations worldwide More
RTL GROUP Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure RTL GROUP's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess RTL GROUP UNSPADR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 26.21 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.30) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.72 |
RTL GROUP Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for RTL GROUP's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as RTL GROUP's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use RTL GROUP historical prices to predict the future RTL GROUP's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.80) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.57) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of RTL GROUP's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
RTL GROUP UNSPADR Backtested Returns
RTL GROUP UNSPADR maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0816, which implies the firm had a -0.0816% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. RTL GROUP UNSPADR exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check RTL GROUP's risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,278) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.46, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, RTL GROUP's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding RTL GROUP is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, RTL GROUP UNSPADR has a negative expected return of -0.26%. Please make sure to check RTL GROUP's kurtosis, day typical price, and the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if RTL GROUP UNSPADR performance from the past will be repeated at some future point.
Auto-correlation | 0.01 |
Virtually no predictability
RTL GROUP UNSPADR has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between RTL GROUP time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of RTL GROUP UNSPADR price movement. The serial correlation of 0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current RTL GROUP price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.01 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.5 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
RTL GROUP UNSPADR lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is RTL GROUP stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting RTL GROUP's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of RTL GROUP returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that RTL GROUP has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
RTL GROUP regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If RTL GROUP stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if RTL GROUP stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in RTL GROUP stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
RTL GROUP Lagged Returns
When evaluating RTL GROUP's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of RTL GROUP stock have on its future price. RTL GROUP autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, RTL GROUP autocorrelation shows the relationship between RTL GROUP stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in RTL GROUP UNSPADR.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in RTL Stock
RTL GROUP financial ratios help investors to determine whether RTL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RTL with respect to the benefits of owning RTL GROUP security.