Victory High Yield Fund Market Value

RSYYX Fund  USD 5.45  0.01  0.18%   
Victory High's market value is the price at which a share of Victory High trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Victory High Yield investors about its performance. Victory High is trading at 5.45 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.18% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 5.44.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Victory High Yield and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Victory High over a given investment horizon. Check out Victory High Correlation, Victory High Volatility and Victory High Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Victory High.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Victory High's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Victory High is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Victory High's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Victory High 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Victory High's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Victory High.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Victory High on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Victory High Yield or generate 0.0% return on investment in Victory High over 30 days. Victory High is related to or competes with Deutsche Global, Victory Floating, Victory Global, and High Yield. The investment seeks to provide current income capital appreciation is a secondary objective More

Victory High Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Victory High's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Victory High Yield upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Victory High Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Victory High's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Victory High's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Victory High historical prices to predict the future Victory High's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Victory High's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.265.455.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.815.006.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.235.435.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.455.455.45
Details

Victory High Yield Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Victory Mutual Fund to be very steady. Victory High Yield owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.21, which indicates the fund had a 0.21% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Victory High Yield, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Victory High's Standard Deviation of 0.1926, downside deviation of 0.1919, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1303 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0402%. The entity has a beta of 0.0311, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Victory High's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Victory High is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.41  

Modest reverse predictability

Victory High Yield has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Victory High time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Victory High Yield price movement. The serial correlation of -0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current Victory High price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.41
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Victory High Yield lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Victory High mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Victory High's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Victory High returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Victory High has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Victory High regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Victory High mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Victory High mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Victory High mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Victory High Lagged Returns

When evaluating Victory High's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Victory High mutual fund have on its future price. Victory High autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Victory High autocorrelation shows the relationship between Victory High mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Victory High Yield.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Victory Mutual Fund

Victory High financial ratios help investors to determine whether Victory Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Victory with respect to the benefits of owning Victory High security.
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