Redwood Managed Volatility Fund Market Value

RWDIX Fund  USD 11.60  0.03  0.26%   
Redwood Managed's market value is the price at which a share of Redwood Managed trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Redwood Managed Volatility investors about its performance. Redwood Managed is trading at 11.60 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.26 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.57.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Redwood Managed Volatility and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Redwood Managed over a given investment horizon. Check out Redwood Managed Correlation, Redwood Managed Volatility and Redwood Managed Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Redwood Managed.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Redwood Managed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Redwood Managed is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Redwood Managed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Redwood Managed 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Redwood Managed's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Redwood Managed.
0.00
05/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Redwood Managed on May 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Redwood Managed Volatility or generate 0.0% return on investment in Redwood Managed over 180 days. Redwood Managed is related to or competes with HUMANA, Barloworld, Morningstar Unconstrained, Thrivent High, High-yield Municipal, Via Renewables, and American Century. The adviser uses a trend-following strategy that seeks to identify the critical turning points in the markets for high y... More

Redwood Managed Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Redwood Managed's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Redwood Managed Volatility upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Redwood Managed Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Redwood Managed's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Redwood Managed's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Redwood Managed historical prices to predict the future Redwood Managed's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.4611.6011.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5110.6512.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.4511.5811.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.5711.5911.62
Details

Redwood Managed Vola Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Redwood Mutual Fund to be very steady. Redwood Managed Vola maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.18, which implies the entity had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Redwood Managed Vola, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Redwood Managed's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0885, standard deviation of 0.1342, and Downside Deviation of 0.1423 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0245%. The fund holds a Beta of 0.087, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Redwood Managed's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Redwood Managed is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.55  

Modest predictability

Redwood Managed Volatility has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Redwood Managed time series from 31st of May 2024 to 29th of August 2024 and 29th of August 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Redwood Managed Vola price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Redwood Managed price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.55
Spearman Rank Test0.55
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Redwood Managed Vola lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Redwood Managed mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Redwood Managed's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Redwood Managed returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Redwood Managed has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Redwood Managed regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Redwood Managed mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Redwood Managed mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Redwood Managed mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Redwood Managed Lagged Returns

When evaluating Redwood Managed's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Redwood Managed mutual fund have on its future price. Redwood Managed autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Redwood Managed autocorrelation shows the relationship between Redwood Managed mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Redwood Managed Volatility.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Redwood Mutual Fund

Redwood Managed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Redwood Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Redwood with respect to the benefits of owning Redwood Managed security.
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