Inverse Dow 2x Fund Market Value

RYCWX Fund  USD 28.18  0.17  0.60%   
Inverse Dow's market value is the price at which a share of Inverse Dow trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Inverse Dow 2x investors about its performance. Inverse Dow is trading at 28.18 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.6 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 28.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Inverse Dow 2x and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Inverse Dow over a given investment horizon. Check out Inverse Dow Correlation, Inverse Dow Volatility and Inverse Dow Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Inverse Dow.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Inverse Dow's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Inverse Dow is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inverse Dow's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Inverse Dow 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Inverse Dow's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Inverse Dow.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Inverse Dow on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Inverse Dow 2x or generate 0.0% return on investment in Inverse Dow over 30 days. Inverse Dow is related to or competes with Federated Mdt, Rational Strategic, Alternative Asset, Gmo Us, and Aqr Large. The fund employs as its investment strategy a program of engaging in short sales of securities generally included in the... More

Inverse Dow Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Inverse Dow's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Inverse Dow 2x upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Inverse Dow Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Inverse Dow's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Inverse Dow's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Inverse Dow historical prices to predict the future Inverse Dow's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inverse Dow's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.6728.1829.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.7326.2431.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.9028.4129.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.6428.7530.85
Details

Inverse Dow 2x Backtested Returns

Inverse Dow 2x holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0878, which attests that the entity had a -0.0878% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Inverse Dow 2x exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Inverse Dow's Standard Deviation of 1.5, risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.68) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0972, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Inverse Dow's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Inverse Dow is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.01  

Virtually no predictability

Inverse Dow 2x has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Inverse Dow time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Inverse Dow 2x price movement. The serial correlation of 0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Inverse Dow price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.01
Spearman Rank Test0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.16

Inverse Dow 2x lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Inverse Dow mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Inverse Dow's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Inverse Dow returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Inverse Dow has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Inverse Dow regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Inverse Dow mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Inverse Dow mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Inverse Dow mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Inverse Dow Lagged Returns

When evaluating Inverse Dow's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Inverse Dow mutual fund have on its future price. Inverse Dow autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Inverse Dow autocorrelation shows the relationship between Inverse Dow mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Inverse Dow 2x.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in INVERSE Mutual Fund

Inverse Dow financial ratios help investors to determine whether INVERSE Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INVERSE with respect to the benefits of owning Inverse Dow security.
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