Brunara SA (Spain) Market Value

S1013 Fund  EUR 24.10  0.00  0.00%   
Brunara SA's market value is the price at which a share of Brunara SA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Brunara SA SICAV investors about its performance. Brunara SA is selling at 24.10 as of the 3rd of December 2024; that is No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's lowest day price was 24.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Brunara SA SICAV and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Brunara SA over a given investment horizon. Check out Brunara SA Correlation, Brunara SA Volatility and Brunara SA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Brunara SA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Brunara SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brunara SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brunara SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Brunara SA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Brunara SA's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Brunara SA.
0.00
11/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Brunara SA on November 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Brunara SA SICAV or generate 0.0% return on investment in Brunara SA over 30 days. More

Brunara SA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Brunara SA's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Brunara SA SICAV upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Brunara SA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Brunara SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Brunara SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Brunara SA historical prices to predict the future Brunara SA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.5924.1024.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.4823.9924.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.6324.1324.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.8123.9624.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Brunara SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Brunara SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Brunara SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Brunara SA SICAV.

Brunara SA SICAV Backtested Returns

As of now, Brunara Fund is very steady. Brunara SA SICAV secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0986, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0986% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Brunara SA SICAV, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Brunara SA's Mean Deviation of 0.3708, risk adjusted performance of 0.0447, and Downside Deviation of 0.5096 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0501%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0176, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Brunara SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Brunara SA is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.81  

Very good predictability

Brunara SA SICAV has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Brunara SA time series from 3rd of November 2024 to 18th of November 2024 and 18th of November 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Brunara SA SICAV price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Brunara SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.81
Spearman Rank Test0.41
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Brunara SA SICAV lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Brunara SA fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Brunara SA's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Brunara SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Brunara SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Brunara SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Brunara SA fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Brunara SA fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Brunara SA fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Brunara SA Lagged Returns

When evaluating Brunara SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Brunara SA fund have on its future price. Brunara SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Brunara SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Brunara SA fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Brunara SA SICAV.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Brunara Fund

Brunara SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Brunara Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Brunara with respect to the benefits of owning Brunara SA security.
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