SVENSKA CELLULO (Germany) Market Value

SCA Stock   13.35  0.19  1.40%   
SVENSKA CELLULO's market value is the price at which a share of SVENSKA CELLULO trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of SVENSKA CELLULO B investors about its performance. SVENSKA CELLULO is selling for under 13.35 as of the 9th of March 2025; that is 1.4% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 13.26.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of SVENSKA CELLULO B and determine expected loss or profit from investing in SVENSKA CELLULO over a given investment horizon. Check out SVENSKA CELLULO Correlation, SVENSKA CELLULO Volatility and SVENSKA CELLULO Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on SVENSKA CELLULO.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between SVENSKA CELLULO's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SVENSKA CELLULO is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SVENSKA CELLULO's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

SVENSKA CELLULO 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SVENSKA CELLULO's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SVENSKA CELLULO.
0.00
02/07/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
03/09/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in SVENSKA CELLULO on February 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SVENSKA CELLULO B or generate 0.0% return on investment in SVENSKA CELLULO over 30 days. SVENSKA CELLULO is related to or competes with SAFEROADS HLDGS, American Public, EVS Broadcast, Yuexiu Transport, DeVry Education, Transport International, and STRAYER EDUCATION. More

SVENSKA CELLULO Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SVENSKA CELLULO's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SVENSKA CELLULO B upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

SVENSKA CELLULO Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SVENSKA CELLULO's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SVENSKA CELLULO's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SVENSKA CELLULO historical prices to predict the future SVENSKA CELLULO's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SVENSKA CELLULO's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.0413.3514.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0215.1016.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.1113.4314.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.3013.1113.92
Details

SVENSKA CELLULO B Backtested Returns

Currently, SVENSKA CELLULO B is very steady. SVENSKA CELLULO B owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0758, which indicates the firm had a 0.0758 % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for SVENSKA CELLULO B , which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate SVENSKA CELLULO's risk adjusted performance of 0.0944, and Coefficient Of Variation of 874.56 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0994%. SVENSKA CELLULO has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.21, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, SVENSKA CELLULO's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding SVENSKA CELLULO is expected to be smaller as well. SVENSKA CELLULO B currently has a risk of 1.31%. Please validate SVENSKA CELLULO standard deviation, value at risk, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and semi variance , to decide if SVENSKA CELLULO will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.22  

Weak predictability

SVENSKA CELLULO B has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SVENSKA CELLULO time series from 7th of February 2025 to 22nd of February 2025 and 22nd of February 2025 to 9th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SVENSKA CELLULO B price movement. The serial correlation of 0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current SVENSKA CELLULO price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.22
Spearman Rank Test0.5
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01
SVENSKA ReturnsSVENSKA Lagged ReturnsDiversified AwaySVENSKA ReturnsSVENSKA Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

SVENSKA CELLULO B lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is SVENSKA CELLULO stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting SVENSKA CELLULO's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of SVENSKA CELLULO returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that SVENSKA CELLULO has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Feb 24Feb 26Feb 28MarMar 04Mar 06Mar 080%1%2%3%4%
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
       Timeline  

SVENSKA CELLULO regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If SVENSKA CELLULO stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if SVENSKA CELLULO stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in SVENSKA CELLULO stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Feb 24Feb 26Feb 28MarMar 04Mar 06Mar 0813.2513.3013.3513.4013.4513.50
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
       Timeline  

SVENSKA CELLULO Lagged Returns

When evaluating SVENSKA CELLULO's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of SVENSKA CELLULO stock have on its future price. SVENSKA CELLULO autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, SVENSKA CELLULO autocorrelation shows the relationship between SVENSKA CELLULO stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in SVENSKA CELLULO B .
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Feb 07Feb 11Feb 15Feb 19Feb 23Feb 27MarMar 0713.113.213.313.413.513.6
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for SVENSKA Stock Analysis

When running SVENSKA CELLULO's price analysis, check to measure SVENSKA CELLULO's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SVENSKA CELLULO is operating at the current time. Most of SVENSKA CELLULO's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SVENSKA CELLULO's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SVENSKA CELLULO's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SVENSKA CELLULO to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.