Siam Commercial (Thailand) Market Value

SCB-R Stock  THB 114.50  0.32  0.28%   
Siam Commercial's market value is the price at which a share of Siam Commercial trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of The Siam Commercial investors about its performance. Siam Commercial is trading at 114.50 as of the 22nd of November 2024, a 0.28 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 114.18.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of The Siam Commercial and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Siam Commercial over a given investment horizon. Check out Siam Commercial Correlation, Siam Commercial Volatility and Siam Commercial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Siam Commercial.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Siam Commercial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Siam Commercial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Siam Commercial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Siam Commercial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Siam Commercial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Siam Commercial.
0.00
12/03/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Siam Commercial on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The Siam Commercial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Siam Commercial over 720 days. Siam Commercial is related to or competes with PTT Public, CP ALL, SCB X, and Airports. The Siam Commercial Bank Public Company Limited offer various financial solutions and services. More

Siam Commercial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Siam Commercial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The Siam Commercial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Siam Commercial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Siam Commercial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Siam Commercial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Siam Commercial historical prices to predict the future Siam Commercial's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.73114.5011,564
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.6492.7511,543
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.22111.03289.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
70.67107.00143.33
Details

Siam Commercial Backtested Returns

Siam Commercial is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Siam Commercial owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.16, which indicates the firm had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have analyzed eighteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 28.68% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Siam Commercial Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.116, standard deviation of 0.6828, and Information Ratio of (0.01) to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Siam Commercial holds a performance score of 12 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The entity has a beta of 0.0, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. the returns on MARKET and Siam Commercial are completely uncorrelated. Use Siam Commercial daily balance of power, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and day typical price , to analyze future returns on Siam Commercial.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.07  

Very weak reverse predictability

The Siam Commercial has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Siam Commercial time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Siam Commercial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current Siam Commercial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.07
Spearman Rank Test0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance99.63

Siam Commercial lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Siam Commercial stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Siam Commercial's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Siam Commercial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Siam Commercial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Siam Commercial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Siam Commercial stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Siam Commercial stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Siam Commercial stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Siam Commercial Lagged Returns

When evaluating Siam Commercial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Siam Commercial stock have on its future price. Siam Commercial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Siam Commercial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Siam Commercial stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in The Siam Commercial.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Siam Stock

Siam Commercial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Siam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Siam with respect to the benefits of owning Siam Commercial security.