Deutsche Managed Municipal Fund Market Value

SCMBX Fund  USD 8.19  0.01  0.12%   
Deutsche Managed's market value is the price at which a share of Deutsche Managed trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Deutsche Managed Municipal investors about its performance. Deutsche Managed is trading at 8.19 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.12 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Deutsche Managed Municipal and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Deutsche Managed over a given investment horizon. Check out Deutsche Managed Correlation, Deutsche Managed Volatility and Deutsche Managed Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Deutsche Managed.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Deutsche Managed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Deutsche Managed is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deutsche Managed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Deutsche Managed 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Deutsche Managed's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Deutsche Managed.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Deutsche Managed on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Deutsche Managed Municipal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Deutsche Managed over 30 days. Deutsche Managed is related to or competes with Deutsche Gnma, Deutsche Short-term, Deutsche Short, Deutsche Science, Deutsche Science, Deutsche Science, and Deutsche Science. The fund invests at least 80 percent of net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings for investment purposes, in securi... More

Deutsche Managed Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Deutsche Managed's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Deutsche Managed Municipal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Deutsche Managed Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Deutsche Managed's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Deutsche Managed's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Deutsche Managed historical prices to predict the future Deutsche Managed's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.928.198.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.928.198.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.938.208.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.198.198.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Deutsche Managed. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Deutsche Managed's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Deutsche Managed's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Deutsche Managed Mun.

Deutsche Managed Mun Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Deutsche Mutual Fund to be very steady. Deutsche Managed Mun secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0365, which denotes the fund had a 0.0365% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Deutsche Managed Municipal, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Deutsche Managed's Mean Deviation of 0.1671, coefficient of variation of 2756.85, and Downside Deviation of 0.3891 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0098%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0409, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Deutsche Managed's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Deutsche Managed is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.43  

Average predictability

Deutsche Managed Municipal has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Deutsche Managed time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Deutsche Managed Mun price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current Deutsche Managed price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.43
Spearman Rank Test0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Deutsche Managed Mun lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Deutsche Managed mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Deutsche Managed's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Deutsche Managed returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Deutsche Managed has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Deutsche Managed regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Deutsche Managed mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Deutsche Managed mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Deutsche Managed mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Deutsche Managed Lagged Returns

When evaluating Deutsche Managed's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Deutsche Managed mutual fund have on its future price. Deutsche Managed autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Deutsche Managed autocorrelation shows the relationship between Deutsche Managed mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Deutsche Managed Municipal.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Deutsche Mutual Fund

Deutsche Managed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deutsche Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deutsche with respect to the benefits of owning Deutsche Managed security.
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