Swan Defined Risk Fund Market Value
| SDRAX Fund | USD 15.86 0.07 0.44% |
| Symbol | Swan |
Swan Defined 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Swan Defined's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Swan Defined.
| 01/12/2023 |
| 12/02/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Swan Defined on January 12, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Swan Defined Risk or generate 0.0% return on investment in Swan Defined over 690 days. Swan Defined is related to or competes with Dreyfus/standish, T Rowe, Limited Term, The National, California Bond, Gmo High, and Bbh Intermediate. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing directly, or indirectly through exchange traded funds , in equity securities that are represented in the SP 500 Index, exchange-traded long-term put options on the SP 500 Index for hedging purposes, and buying and selling exchange-traded put and call options on various equity indices to generate additional returns. More
Swan Defined Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Swan Defined's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Swan Defined Risk upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.4549 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.60) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.6649 |
Swan Defined Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Swan Defined's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Swan Defined's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Swan Defined historical prices to predict the future Swan Defined's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1423 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0137 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0025 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1586 |
Swan Defined Risk Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Swan Mutual Fund to be very steady. Swan Defined Risk owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.24, which indicates the fund had a 0.24% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Swan Defined Risk, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Swan Defined's Semi Deviation of 0.2634, risk adjusted performance of 0.1423, and Coefficient Of Variation of 505.74 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.091%. The entity has a beta of 0.44, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Swan Defined's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Swan Defined is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.72 |
Good predictability
Swan Defined Risk has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Swan Defined time series from 12th of January 2023 to 23rd of December 2023 and 23rd of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Swan Defined Risk price movement. The serial correlation of 0.72 indicates that around 72.0% of current Swan Defined price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.72 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.74 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.31 |
Swan Defined Risk lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Swan Defined mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Swan Defined's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Swan Defined returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Swan Defined has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Swan Defined regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Swan Defined mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Swan Defined mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Swan Defined mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Swan Defined Lagged Returns
When evaluating Swan Defined's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Swan Defined mutual fund have on its future price. Swan Defined autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Swan Defined autocorrelation shows the relationship between Swan Defined mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Swan Defined Risk.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Swan Mutual Fund
Swan Defined financial ratios help investors to determine whether Swan Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Swan with respect to the benefits of owning Swan Defined security.
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