Deutsche Emerging Markets Fund Market Value

SEKAX Fund  USD 18.41  0.28  1.54%   
Deutsche Emerging's market value is the price at which a share of Deutsche Emerging trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Deutsche Emerging Markets investors about its performance. Deutsche Emerging is trading at 18.41 as of the 31st of January 2025; that is 1.54% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 18.13.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Deutsche Emerging Markets and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Deutsche Emerging over a given investment horizon. Check out Deutsche Emerging Correlation, Deutsche Emerging Volatility and Deutsche Emerging Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Deutsche Emerging.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Deutsche Emerging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Deutsche Emerging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deutsche Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Deutsche Emerging 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Deutsche Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Deutsche Emerging.
0.00
02/11/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
01/31/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Deutsche Emerging on February 11, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Deutsche Emerging Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Deutsche Emerging over 720 days. Deutsche Emerging is related to or competes with Jhancock Diversified, Madison Diversified, Gmo Quality, Harbor Diversified, Schwab Small-cap, and Tax-managed. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings for in... More

Deutsche Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Deutsche Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Deutsche Emerging Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Deutsche Emerging Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Deutsche Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Deutsche Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Deutsche Emerging historical prices to predict the future Deutsche Emerging's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5418.4119.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.5318.4019.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.7318.6019.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.7418.1718.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Deutsche Emerging. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Deutsche Emerging's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Deutsche Emerging's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Deutsche Emerging Markets.

Deutsche Emerging Markets Backtested Returns

Deutsche Emerging Markets secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.036, which denotes the fund had a -0.036 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Deutsche Emerging Markets exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Deutsche Emerging's Standard Deviation of 0.868, mean deviation of 0.6432, and Variance of 0.7535 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.28, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Deutsche Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Deutsche Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.34  

Poor reverse predictability

Deutsche Emerging Markets has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Deutsche Emerging time series from 11th of February 2023 to 6th of February 2024 and 6th of February 2024 to 31st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Deutsche Emerging Markets price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Deutsche Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.34
Spearman Rank Test-0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.47

Deutsche Emerging Markets lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Deutsche Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Deutsche Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Deutsche Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Deutsche Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Deutsche Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Deutsche Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Deutsche Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Deutsche Emerging mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Deutsche Emerging Lagged Returns

When evaluating Deutsche Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Deutsche Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Deutsche Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Deutsche Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Deutsche Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Deutsche Emerging Markets.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Deutsche Mutual Fund

Deutsche Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deutsche Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deutsche with respect to the benefits of owning Deutsche Emerging security.
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