Silver Castle (Israel) Market Value

SLCL Stock   551.90  56.30  9.26%   
Silver Castle's market value is the price at which a share of Silver Castle trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Silver Castle Holdings investors about its performance. Silver Castle is trading at 551.90 as of the 1st of December 2024, a 9.26 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 608.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Silver Castle Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Silver Castle over a given investment horizon. Check out Silver Castle Correlation, Silver Castle Volatility and Silver Castle Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Silver Castle.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Silver Castle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Silver Castle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Silver Castle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Silver Castle 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Silver Castle's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Silver Castle.
0.00
09/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Silver Castle on September 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Silver Castle Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Silver Castle over 90 days. Silver Castle is related to or competes with Sofwave Medical, Tedea Technological, Hiron Trade, Sarine Technologies, One Software, Storage Drop, and Silver Castle. More

Silver Castle Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Silver Castle's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Silver Castle Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Silver Castle Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Silver Castle's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Silver Castle's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Silver Castle historical prices to predict the future Silver Castle's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
548.61551.90555.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
498.67501.96607.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
534.18537.47540.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
547.98584.77621.56
Details

Silver Castle Holdings Backtested Returns

Silver Castle Holdings owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0588, which indicates the firm had a -0.0588% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Silver Castle Holdings exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Silver Castle's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,552), risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Variance of 11.38 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.12, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Silver Castle are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Silver Castle is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Silver Castle Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to validate Silver Castle's treynor ratio, value at risk, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to decide if Silver Castle Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.63  

Very good reverse predictability

Silver Castle Holdings has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Silver Castle time series from 2nd of September 2024 to 17th of October 2024 and 17th of October 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Silver Castle Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of -0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Silver Castle price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.63
Spearman Rank Test-0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1109.75

Silver Castle Holdings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Silver Castle stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Silver Castle's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Silver Castle returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Silver Castle has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Silver Castle regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Silver Castle stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Silver Castle stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Silver Castle stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Silver Castle Lagged Returns

When evaluating Silver Castle's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Silver Castle stock have on its future price. Silver Castle autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Silver Castle autocorrelation shows the relationship between Silver Castle stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Silver Castle Holdings.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Silver Stock

Silver Castle financial ratios help investors to determine whether Silver Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Silver with respect to the benefits of owning Silver Castle security.