Solvay Sa Adr Stock Market Value

SLVYY Stock  USD 3.21  0.05  1.53%   
Solvay SA's market value is the price at which a share of Solvay SA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Solvay SA ADR investors about its performance. Solvay SA is trading at 3.21 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 1.53% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 3.26.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Solvay SA ADR and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Solvay SA over a given investment horizon. Check out Solvay SA Correlation, Solvay SA Volatility and Solvay SA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Solvay SA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Solvay SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Solvay SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Solvay SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Solvay SA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Solvay SA's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Solvay SA.
0.00
12/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Solvay SA on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Solvay SA ADR or generate 0.0% return on investment in Solvay SA over 720 days. Solvay SA is related to or competes with Origin Materials, BASF SE, Braskem SA, Lsb Industries, Dow, Huntsman, and Origin Materials. Solvay SA provides advanced materials and specialty chemicals worldwide More

Solvay SA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Solvay SA's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Solvay SA ADR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Solvay SA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Solvay SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Solvay SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Solvay SA historical prices to predict the future Solvay SA's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Solvay SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.123.215.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.832.925.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.143.245.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.183.233.27
Details

Solvay SA ADR Backtested Returns

Solvay SA ADR owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0466, which indicates the firm had a -0.0466% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Solvay SA ADR exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Solvay SA's Coefficient Of Variation of (2,168), risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Variance of 4.34 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.34, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Solvay SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Solvay SA is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Solvay SA ADR has a negative expected return of -0.0977%. Please make sure to validate Solvay SA's value at risk, rate of daily change, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to decide if Solvay SA ADR performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.63  

Very good reverse predictability

Solvay SA ADR has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Solvay SA time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Solvay SA ADR price movement. The serial correlation of -0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Solvay SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.63
Spearman Rank Test0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7.21

Solvay SA ADR lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Solvay SA pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Solvay SA's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Solvay SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Solvay SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Solvay SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Solvay SA pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Solvay SA pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Solvay SA pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Solvay SA Lagged Returns

When evaluating Solvay SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Solvay SA pink sheet have on its future price. Solvay SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Solvay SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Solvay SA pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Solvay SA ADR.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Solvay Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Solvay SA's price analysis, check to measure Solvay SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Solvay SA is operating at the current time. Most of Solvay SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Solvay SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Solvay SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Solvay SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.