San Miguel Stock Market Value

SMGBF Stock  USD 1.62  0.00  0.00%   
San Miguel's market value is the price at which a share of San Miguel trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of San Miguel investors about its performance. San Miguel is trading at 1.62 as of the 29th of November 2024. This is a No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.62.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of San Miguel and determine expected loss or profit from investing in San Miguel over a given investment horizon. Check out San Miguel Correlation, San Miguel Volatility and San Miguel Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on San Miguel.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between San Miguel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if San Miguel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, San Miguel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

San Miguel 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to San Miguel's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of San Miguel.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in San Miguel on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding San Miguel or generate 0.0% return on investment in San Miguel over 30 days. San Miguel is related to or competes with Ayala, Teijin, and Alliance Global. San Miguel Corporation engages in food and beverage, packaging, energy, fuel and oil, infrastructure, cement, and bankin... More

San Miguel Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure San Miguel's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess San Miguel upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

San Miguel Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for San Miguel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as San Miguel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use San Miguel historical prices to predict the future San Miguel's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.629.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.719.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.599.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.321.531.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as San Miguel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against San Miguel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, San Miguel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in San Miguel.

San Miguel Backtested Returns

San Miguel appears to be extremely dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. San Miguel owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0546, which indicates the firm had a 0.0546% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found seventeen technical indicators for San Miguel, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review San Miguel's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0499, coefficient of variation of 1873.67, and Variance of 54.18 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, San Miguel holds a performance score of 4. The entity has a beta of 0.74, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, San Miguel's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding San Miguel is expected to be smaller as well. Please check San Miguel's jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether San Miguel's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.00  

No correlation between past and present

San Miguel has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between San Miguel time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of San Miguel price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current San Miguel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test1.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

San Miguel lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is San Miguel pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting San Miguel's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of San Miguel returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that San Miguel has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

San Miguel regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If San Miguel pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if San Miguel pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in San Miguel pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

San Miguel Lagged Returns

When evaluating San Miguel's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of San Miguel pink sheet have on its future price. San Miguel autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, San Miguel autocorrelation shows the relationship between San Miguel pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in San Miguel.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in San Pink Sheet

San Miguel financial ratios help investors to determine whether San Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in San with respect to the benefits of owning San Miguel security.