Mid Capitalization Portfolio Fund Market Value

SPMCX Fund  USD 10.31  0.11  1.08%   
Mid Capitalization's market value is the price at which a share of Mid Capitalization trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mid Capitalization Portfolio investors about its performance. Mid Capitalization is trading at 10.31 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 1.08 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mid Capitalization Portfolio and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mid Capitalization over a given investment horizon. Check out Mid Capitalization Correlation, Mid Capitalization Volatility and Mid Capitalization Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mid Capitalization.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mid Capitalization's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mid Capitalization is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mid Capitalization's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mid Capitalization 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mid Capitalization's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mid Capitalization.
0.00
12/04/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mid Capitalization on December 4, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mid Capitalization Portfolio or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mid Capitalization over 720 days. Mid Capitalization is related to or competes with Royce Global, 1919 Financial, Financials Ultrasector, Vanguard Financials, Transamerica Financial, Icon Financial, and Fidelity Advisor. The Portfolio will normally invest at least 80 percent of its total assets in equity securities of companies whose stock... More

Mid Capitalization Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mid Capitalization's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mid Capitalization Portfolio upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mid Capitalization Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mid Capitalization's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mid Capitalization's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mid Capitalization historical prices to predict the future Mid Capitalization's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mid Capitalization's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.2310.3111.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.5710.6511.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.0210.0911.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.9410.1810.42
Details

Mid Capitalization Backtested Returns

Mid Capitalization appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Mid Capitalization has Sharpe Ratio of 0.19, which conveys that the entity had a 0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Mid Capitalization, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please exercise Mid Capitalization's Downside Deviation of 0.9691, risk adjusted performance of 0.1499, and Mean Deviation of 0.7615 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0106, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Mid Capitalization are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Mid Capitalization is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.28  

Weak reverse predictability

Mid Capitalization Portfolio has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mid Capitalization time series from 4th of December 2022 to 29th of November 2023 and 29th of November 2023 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mid Capitalization price movement. The serial correlation of -0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Mid Capitalization price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.28
Spearman Rank Test-0.03
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.28

Mid Capitalization lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mid Capitalization mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mid Capitalization's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mid Capitalization returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mid Capitalization has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mid Capitalization regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mid Capitalization mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mid Capitalization mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mid Capitalization mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mid Capitalization Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mid Capitalization's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mid Capitalization mutual fund have on its future price. Mid Capitalization autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mid Capitalization autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mid Capitalization mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mid Capitalization Portfolio.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mid Mutual Fund

Mid Capitalization financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mid Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mid with respect to the benefits of owning Mid Capitalization security.
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