Sp 500 Index Fund Market Value

SPXKX Fund  USD 75.65  9.19  10.83%   
Sp 500's market value is the price at which a share of Sp 500 trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Sp 500 Index investors about its performance. Sp 500 is trading at 75.65 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 10.83 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 84.84.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Sp 500 Index and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Sp 500 over a given investment horizon. Check out Sp 500 Correlation, Sp 500 Volatility and Sp 500 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Sp 500.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Sp 500's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sp 500 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sp 500's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Sp 500 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Sp 500's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Sp 500.
0.00
12/11/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Sp 500 on December 11, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Sp 500 Index or generate 0.0% return on investment in Sp 500 over 720 days. Sp 500 is related to or competes with Shelton Emerging, Shelton Emerging, California Tax-free, Shelton Funds, Nasdaq-100 Index, Shelton Core, and Shelton E. The SP 500 Index includes the common stocks of 500 leading U.S More

Sp 500 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Sp 500's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Sp 500 Index upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Sp 500 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Sp 500's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Sp 500's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Sp 500 historical prices to predict the future Sp 500's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.0675.6277.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.2876.8478.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
74.1875.7477.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
75.5782.5289.47
Details

Sp 500 Index Backtested Returns

Sp 500 Index retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0244, which indicates the fund had a -0.0244% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. Sp 500 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Sp 500's Standard Deviation of 1.55, mean deviation of 0.724, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.75, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Sp 500's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Sp 500 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.78  

Good predictability

Sp 500 Index has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Sp 500 time series from 11th of December 2022 to 6th of December 2023 and 6th of December 2023 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Sp 500 Index price movement. The serial correlation of 0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Sp 500 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.78
Spearman Rank Test0.78
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance27.23

Sp 500 Index lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Sp 500 mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Sp 500's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Sp 500 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Sp 500 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Sp 500 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Sp 500 mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Sp 500 mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Sp 500 mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Sp 500 Lagged Returns

When evaluating Sp 500's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Sp 500 mutual fund have on its future price. Sp 500 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Sp 500 autocorrelation shows the relationship between Sp 500 mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Sp 500 Index.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in SPXKX Mutual Fund

Sp 500 financial ratios help investors to determine whether SPXKX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SPXKX with respect to the benefits of owning Sp 500 security.
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