SPARTAN STORES (Germany) Market Value

SRJ Stock  EUR 17.60  0.50  2.92%   
SPARTAN STORES's market value is the price at which a share of SPARTAN STORES trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of SPARTAN STORES investors about its performance. SPARTAN STORES is trading at 17.60 as of the 23rd of November 2024, a 2.92% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 17.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of SPARTAN STORES and determine expected loss or profit from investing in SPARTAN STORES over a given investment horizon. Check out SPARTAN STORES Correlation, SPARTAN STORES Volatility and SPARTAN STORES Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on SPARTAN STORES.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between SPARTAN STORES's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SPARTAN STORES is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SPARTAN STORES's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

SPARTAN STORES 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SPARTAN STORES's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SPARTAN STORES.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in SPARTAN STORES on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SPARTAN STORES or generate 0.0% return on investment in SPARTAN STORES over 30 days. SPARTAN STORES is related to or competes with Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Microsoft, Microsoft, and Microsoft. More

SPARTAN STORES Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SPARTAN STORES's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SPARTAN STORES upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

SPARTAN STORES Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SPARTAN STORES's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SPARTAN STORES's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SPARTAN STORES historical prices to predict the future SPARTAN STORES's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.3317.6019.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.0815.3517.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.0717.3419.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.5618.9321.29
Details

SPARTAN STORES Backtested Returns

SPARTAN STORES retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0253, which indicates the firm had a -0.0253% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. SPARTAN STORES exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate SPARTAN STORES's standard deviation of 2.23, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.16, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning SPARTAN STORES are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, SPARTAN STORES is likely to outperform the market. At this point, SPARTAN STORES has a negative expected return of -0.0574%. Please make sure to validate SPARTAN STORES's coefficient of variation, information ratio, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and jensen alpha , to decide if SPARTAN STORES performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.21  

Weak predictability

SPARTAN STORES has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SPARTAN STORES time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SPARTAN STORES price movement. The serial correlation of 0.21 indicates that over 21.0% of current SPARTAN STORES price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.21
Spearman Rank Test-0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.13

SPARTAN STORES lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is SPARTAN STORES stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting SPARTAN STORES's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of SPARTAN STORES returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that SPARTAN STORES has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

SPARTAN STORES regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If SPARTAN STORES stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if SPARTAN STORES stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in SPARTAN STORES stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

SPARTAN STORES Lagged Returns

When evaluating SPARTAN STORES's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of SPARTAN STORES stock have on its future price. SPARTAN STORES autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, SPARTAN STORES autocorrelation shows the relationship between SPARTAN STORES stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in SPARTAN STORES.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in SPARTAN Stock

SPARTAN STORES financial ratios help investors to determine whether SPARTAN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SPARTAN with respect to the benefits of owning SPARTAN STORES security.