Syrah Resources (Australia) Market Value
SYR Stock | 0.22 0.01 4.35% |
Symbol | Syrah |
Syrah Resources 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Syrah Resources' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Syrah Resources.
08/31/2024 |
| 11/29/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Syrah Resources on August 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Syrah Resources or generate 0.0% return on investment in Syrah Resources over 90 days. Syrah Resources is related to or competes with Ainsworth Game, Collins Foods, Viva Leisure, British Amer, and Autosports. More
Syrah Resources Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Syrah Resources' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Syrah Resources upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 4.8 | |||
Information Ratio | (0) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 39.59 | |||
Value At Risk | (6.67) | |||
Potential Upside | 11.11 |
Syrah Resources Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Syrah Resources' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Syrah Resources' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Syrah Resources historical prices to predict the future Syrah Resources' volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0223 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 0.1824 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.85) | |||
Sortino Ratio | (0) | |||
Treynor Ratio | (0.14) |
Syrah Resources Backtested Returns
Currently, Syrah Resources is out of control. Syrah Resources owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0286, which indicates the firm had a 0.0286% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Syrah Resources, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Syrah Resources' Semi Deviation of 3.73, coefficient of variation of 5658.2, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0223 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. Syrah Resources has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.7, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Syrah Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Syrah Resources is likely to outperform the market. Syrah Resources right now has a risk of 6.32%. Please validate Syrah Resources treynor ratio, downside variance, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and expected short fall , to decide if Syrah Resources will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.63 |
Very good reverse predictability
Syrah Resources has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Syrah Resources time series from 31st of August 2024 to 15th of October 2024 and 15th of October 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Syrah Resources price movement. The serial correlation of -0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Syrah Resources price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | -0.63 | |
Spearman Rank Test | -0.57 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.0 |
Syrah Resources lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Syrah Resources stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Syrah Resources' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Syrah Resources returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Syrah Resources has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
Syrah Resources regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Syrah Resources stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Syrah Resources stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Syrah Resources stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
Syrah Resources Lagged Returns
When evaluating Syrah Resources' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Syrah Resources stock have on its future price. Syrah Resources autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Syrah Resources autocorrelation shows the relationship between Syrah Resources stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Syrah Resources.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Tools for Syrah Stock Analysis
When running Syrah Resources' price analysis, check to measure Syrah Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Syrah Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Syrah Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Syrah Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Syrah Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Syrah Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.