Top KingWin Ltd Market Value
| TCJHDelisted Stock | 0.39 0.01 2.50% |
| Symbol | Top |
Top KingWin 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Top KingWin's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Top KingWin.
| 07/20/2023 |
| 12/11/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Top KingWin on July 20, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Top KingWin Ltd or generate 0.0% return on investment in Top KingWin over 510 days. Top KingWin is related to or competes with Dine Brands, Lincoln Educational, Afya, Summit Hotel, Wendys, Playa Hotels, and Bt Brands. More
Top KingWin Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Top KingWin's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Top KingWin Ltd upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 9.1 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0979 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 105.28 | |||
| Value At Risk | (13.46) | |||
| Potential Upside | 21.43 |
Top KingWin Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Top KingWin's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Top KingWin's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Top KingWin historical prices to predict the future Top KingWin's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0867 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.5 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.72) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.149 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (5.99) |
Top KingWin Backtested Returns
Top KingWin appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Top KingWin owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0585, which indicates the firm had a 0.0585% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Top KingWin's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.81% is justified by implied risk. Please review Top KingWin's Semi Deviation of 7.23, coefficient of variation of 935.78, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0867 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Top KingWin holds a performance score of 4. The entity has a beta of -0.25, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Top KingWin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Top KingWin is likely to outperform the market. Please check Top KingWin's value at risk and the relationship between the expected short fall and price action indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Top KingWin's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.15 |
Insignificant predictability
Top KingWin Ltd has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Top KingWin time series from 20th of July 2023 to 31st of March 2024 and 31st of March 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Top KingWin price movement. The serial correlation of 0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current Top KingWin price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.15 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.05 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.1 |
Top KingWin lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Top KingWin stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Top KingWin's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Top KingWin returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Top KingWin has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Top KingWin regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Top KingWin stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Top KingWin stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Top KingWin stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Top KingWin Lagged Returns
When evaluating Top KingWin's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Top KingWin stock have on its future price. Top KingWin autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Top KingWin autocorrelation shows the relationship between Top KingWin stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Top KingWin Ltd.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Check out Top KingWin Correlation, Top KingWin Volatility and Top KingWin Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Top KingWin. For more detail on how to invest in Top Stock please use our How to Invest in Top KingWin guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Other Consideration for investing in Top Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Top KingWin check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Top KingWin's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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