Third Century Bancorp Stock Market Value
| TDCB Stock | USD 9.40 0.21 2.29% |
| Symbol | Third |
Third Century 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Third Century's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Third Century.
| 10/30/2025 |
| 12/29/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Third Century on October 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Third Century Bancorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Third Century over 60 days. Third Century is related to or competes with US Metro, Absecon Bancorp, 1st Federal, CNB Financial, First Niles, Liberty Northwest, and Southern Banc. Third Century Bancorp operates as the holding company for Mutual Savings Bank that provides various banking products and... More
Third Century Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Third Century's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Third Century Bancorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.6 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.65) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.72 |
Third Century Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Third Century's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Third Century's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Third Century historical prices to predict the future Third Century's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0372 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0417 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.10) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2603 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Third Century's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Third Century Bancorp Backtested Returns
At this point, Third Century is not too volatile. Third Century Bancorp owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of close to zero, which indicates the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Third Century Bancorp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Third Century's Coefficient Of Variation of 2201.77, risk adjusted performance of 0.0372, and Semi Deviation of 1.17 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0113%. The entity has a beta of 0.23, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Third Century's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Third Century is expected to be smaller as well. Third Century Bancorp right now has a risk of 1.52%. Please validate Third Century maximum drawdown, semi variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and potential upside , to decide if Third Century will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.62 |
Very good reverse predictability
Third Century Bancorp has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Third Century time series from 30th of October 2025 to 29th of November 2025 and 29th of November 2025 to 29th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Third Century Bancorp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Third Century price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.62 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.07 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Third Century Bancorp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Third Century pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Third Century's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Third Century returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Third Century has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Third Century regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Third Century pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Third Century pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Third Century pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Third Century Lagged Returns
When evaluating Third Century's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Third Century pink sheet have on its future price. Third Century autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Third Century autocorrelation shows the relationship between Third Century pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Third Century Bancorp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Third Pink Sheet
Third Century financial ratios help investors to determine whether Third Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Third with respect to the benefits of owning Third Century security.