Towle Deep Value Fund Market Value

TDVFX Fund  USD 16.68  0.39  2.28%   
Towle Deep's market value is the price at which a share of Towle Deep trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Towle Deep Value investors about its performance. Towle Deep is trading at 16.68 as of the 1st of February 2025; that is 2.28 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 17.07.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Towle Deep Value and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Towle Deep over a given investment horizon. Check out Towle Deep Correlation, Towle Deep Volatility and Towle Deep Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Towle Deep.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Towle Deep's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Towle Deep is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Towle Deep's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Towle Deep 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Towle Deep's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Towle Deep.
0.00
12/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
02/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Towle Deep on December 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Towle Deep Value or generate 0.0% return on investment in Towle Deep over 60 days. Towle Deep is related to or competes with T Rowe, Ambrus Core, Ab Bond, Dreyfus/standish, Versatile Bond, Ms Global, and Mirova Global. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests primarily in equity securities of U.S More

Towle Deep Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Towle Deep's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Towle Deep Value upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Towle Deep Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Towle Deep's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Towle Deep's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Towle Deep historical prices to predict the future Towle Deep's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.6216.6818.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.8616.9218.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.2216.2818.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.6516.3717.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Towle Deep. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Towle Deep's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Towle Deep's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Towle Deep Value.

Towle Deep Value Backtested Returns

Towle Deep Value owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0123, which indicates the fund had a -0.0123 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Towle Deep Value exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Towle Deep's insignificant Risk Adjusted Performance, coefficient of variation of (8,098), and Variance of 4.25 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.59, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Towle Deep's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Towle Deep is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.79  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Towle Deep Value has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Towle Deep time series from 3rd of December 2024 to 2nd of January 2025 and 2nd of January 2025 to 1st of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Towle Deep Value price movement. The serial correlation of -0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Towle Deep price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.79
Spearman Rank Test-0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.1

Towle Deep Value lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Towle Deep mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Towle Deep's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Towle Deep returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Towle Deep has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Towle Deep regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Towle Deep mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Towle Deep mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Towle Deep mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Towle Deep Lagged Returns

When evaluating Towle Deep's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Towle Deep mutual fund have on its future price. Towle Deep autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Towle Deep autocorrelation shows the relationship between Towle Deep mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Towle Deep Value.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Towle Mutual Fund

Towle Deep financial ratios help investors to determine whether Towle Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Towle with respect to the benefits of owning Towle Deep security.
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