Templeton Emerging (Germany) Market Value

TEP3 Fund  EUR 45.01  0.36  0.81%   
Templeton Emerging's market value is the price at which a share of Templeton Emerging trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Templeton Emerging Markets investors about its performance. Templeton Emerging is trading at 45.01 as of the 4th of December 2024, a 0.81 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's lowest day price was 45.01.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Templeton Emerging Markets and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Templeton Emerging over a given investment horizon. Check out Templeton Emerging Correlation, Templeton Emerging Volatility and Templeton Emerging Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Templeton Emerging.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Templeton Emerging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Templeton Emerging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Templeton Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Templeton Emerging 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Templeton Emerging's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Templeton Emerging.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Templeton Emerging on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Templeton Emerging Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Templeton Emerging over 30 days. Templeton Emerging is related to or competes with Groupama Entreprises, Renaissance Europe, Superior Plus, Origin Agritech, Identiv, INTUITIVE SURGICAL, and Intel. More

Templeton Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Templeton Emerging's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Templeton Emerging Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Templeton Emerging Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Templeton Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Templeton Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Templeton Emerging historical prices to predict the future Templeton Emerging's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.6945.0146.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.1845.5046.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.0344.3445.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
44.4644.8045.15
Details

Templeton Emerging Backtested Returns

At this point, Templeton Emerging is very steady. Templeton Emerging owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Templeton Emerging Markets, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Templeton Emerging's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0616, coefficient of variation of 1334.98, and Semi Deviation of 1.28 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. The entity has a beta of 0.0218, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Templeton Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Templeton Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.36  

Below average predictability

Templeton Emerging Markets has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Templeton Emerging time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Templeton Emerging price movement. The serial correlation of 0.36 indicates that just about 36.0% of current Templeton Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.36
Spearman Rank Test-0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.08

Templeton Emerging lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Templeton Emerging fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Templeton Emerging's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Templeton Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Templeton Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Templeton Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Templeton Emerging fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Templeton Emerging fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Templeton Emerging fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Templeton Emerging Lagged Returns

When evaluating Templeton Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Templeton Emerging fund have on its future price. Templeton Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Templeton Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Templeton Emerging fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Templeton Emerging Markets.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Templeton Fund

Templeton Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Templeton Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Templeton with respect to the benefits of owning Templeton Emerging security.
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