Kasikornbank Public (Germany) Market Value

TFBF Stock  EUR 4.04  0.04  1.00%   
Kasikornbank Public's market value is the price at which a share of Kasikornbank Public trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Kasikornbank Public investors about its performance. Kasikornbank Public is trading at 4.04 as of the 30th of November 2024. This is a 1.00 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 4.04.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Kasikornbank Public and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Kasikornbank Public over a given investment horizon. Check out Kasikornbank Public Correlation, Kasikornbank Public Volatility and Kasikornbank Public Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Kasikornbank Public.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kasikornbank Public's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kasikornbank Public is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kasikornbank Public's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kasikornbank Public 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Kasikornbank Public's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Kasikornbank Public.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Kasikornbank Public on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Kasikornbank Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in Kasikornbank Public over 30 days. Kasikornbank Public is related to or competes with Neinor Homes, American Homes, MAVEN WIRELESS, and MACOM Technology. Kasikornbank Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial banking products and services i... More

Kasikornbank Public Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Kasikornbank Public's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Kasikornbank Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Kasikornbank Public Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kasikornbank Public's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Kasikornbank Public's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Kasikornbank Public historical prices to predict the future Kasikornbank Public's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.204.0411.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.1510.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.094.3111.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.944.004.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kasikornbank Public. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kasikornbank Public's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kasikornbank Public's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kasikornbank Public.

Kasikornbank Public Backtested Returns

Kasikornbank Public is dangerous given 3 months investment horizon. Kasikornbank Public has Sharpe Ratio of 0.14, which conveys that the firm had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have analyzed twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.08% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Kasikornbank Public Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1134, downside deviation of 2.34, and Mean Deviation of 2.55 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Kasikornbank Public holds a performance score of 11 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.95, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning Kasikornbank Public are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Kasikornbank Public is expected to outperform it slightly. Use Kasikornbank Public value at risk, downside variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to analyze future returns on Kasikornbank Public.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.04  

Very weak reverse predictability

Kasikornbank Public has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Kasikornbank Public time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Kasikornbank Public price movement. The serial correlation of -0.04 indicates that only as little as 4.0% of current Kasikornbank Public price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.04
Spearman Rank Test0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Kasikornbank Public lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Kasikornbank Public stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Kasikornbank Public's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Kasikornbank Public returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Kasikornbank Public has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Kasikornbank Public regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Kasikornbank Public stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Kasikornbank Public stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Kasikornbank Public stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Kasikornbank Public Lagged Returns

When evaluating Kasikornbank Public's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Kasikornbank Public stock have on its future price. Kasikornbank Public autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Kasikornbank Public autocorrelation shows the relationship between Kasikornbank Public stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Kasikornbank Public.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Kasikornbank Stock

Kasikornbank Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kasikornbank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kasikornbank with respect to the benefits of owning Kasikornbank Public security.