Trillium Gold Mines Stock Market Value
| TGLDF Stock | USD 0.21 0.01 4.55% |
| Symbol | Trillium |
Trillium Gold 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Trillium Gold's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Trillium Gold.
| 06/28/2025 |
| 12/25/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Trillium Gold on June 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Trillium Gold Mines or generate 0.0% return on investment in Trillium Gold over 180 days. Trillium Gold is related to or competes with Gold Port, and Lupaka Gold. Trillium Gold Mines Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in Canada More
Trillium Gold Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Trillium Gold's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Trillium Gold Mines upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.06) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 32.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (8.70) | |||
| Potential Upside | 11.54 |
Trillium Gold Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Trillium Gold's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Trillium Gold's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Trillium Gold historical prices to predict the future Trillium Gold's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.27) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.76) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 142.53 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trillium Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Trillium Gold Mines Backtested Returns
Trillium Gold Mines owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0291, which indicates the firm had a -0.0291 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Trillium Gold Mines exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Trillium Gold's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), coefficient of variation of (2,279), and Variance of 35.32 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0019, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Trillium Gold are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Trillium Gold is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Trillium Gold Mines has a negative expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to validate Trillium Gold's total risk alpha and the relationship between the skewness and price action indicator , to decide if Trillium Gold Mines performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.03 |
Virtually no predictability
Trillium Gold Mines has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Trillium Gold time series from 28th of June 2025 to 26th of September 2025 and 26th of September 2025 to 25th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Trillium Gold Mines price movement. The serial correlation of 0.03 indicates that only 3.0% of current Trillium Gold price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.03 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.14 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Trillium Gold Mines lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Trillium Gold otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Trillium Gold's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Trillium Gold returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Trillium Gold has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Trillium Gold regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Trillium Gold otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Trillium Gold otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Trillium Gold otc stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Trillium Gold Lagged Returns
When evaluating Trillium Gold's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Trillium Gold otc stock have on its future price. Trillium Gold autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Trillium Gold autocorrelation shows the relationship between Trillium Gold otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Trillium Gold Mines.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in Trillium OTC Stock
Trillium Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Trillium OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Trillium with respect to the benefits of owning Trillium Gold security.