Thornburg International Value Fund Market Value
| TGVAX Fund | USD 25.60 0.03 0.12% |
| Symbol | Thornburg |
Thornburg International 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Thornburg International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Thornburg International.
| 10/24/2024 |
| 11/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Thornburg International on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Thornburg International Value or generate 0.0% return on investment in Thornburg International over 30 days. Thornburg International is related to or competes with Growth Fund, Loomis Sayles, Oppenheimer International, Thornburg Core, and Eaton Vance. The fund invests primarily in common stocks of non-U.S More
Thornburg International Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Thornburg International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Thornburg International Value upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.26) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.41 |
Thornburg International Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Thornburg International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Thornburg International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Thornburg International historical prices to predict the future Thornburg International's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.1) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.29) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.12) |
Thornburg International Backtested Returns
Thornburg International owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.15, which indicates the fund had a -0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Thornburg International Value exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Thornburg International's Variance of 0.9298, risk adjusted performance of (0.1), and Coefficient Of Variation of (777.52) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.12, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Thornburg International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Thornburg International is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.33 |
Below average predictability
Thornburg International Value has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Thornburg International time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Thornburg International price movement. The serial correlation of 0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current Thornburg International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.33 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.09 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.54 |
Thornburg International lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Thornburg International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Thornburg International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Thornburg International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Thornburg International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Thornburg International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Thornburg International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Thornburg International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Thornburg International mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Thornburg International Lagged Returns
When evaluating Thornburg International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Thornburg International mutual fund have on its future price. Thornburg International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Thornburg International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Thornburg International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Thornburg International Value.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Thornburg Mutual Fund
Thornburg International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thornburg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thornburg with respect to the benefits of owning Thornburg International security.
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