Touchstone Small Pany Fund Market Value
| TICSX Fund | USD 7.73 0.10 1.31% |
| Symbol | Touchstone |
Touchstone Small 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Touchstone Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Touchstone Small.
| 10/27/2024 |
| 11/26/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Touchstone Small on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Touchstone Small Pany or generate 0.0% return on investment in Touchstone Small over 30 days. Touchstone Small is related to or competes with Sentinel Common, Sentinel International, Sentinel Balanced, Calamos Growth, and Growth Fund. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in small-capitalization companies More
Touchstone Small Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Touchstone Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Touchstone Small Pany upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0134 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.0 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.32) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.73 |
Touchstone Small Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Touchstone Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Touchstone Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Touchstone Small historical prices to predict the future Touchstone Small's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1035 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1128 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.014 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7725 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Touchstone Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Touchstone Small Pany Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Touchstone Mutual Fund to be not too volatile. Touchstone Small Pany owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which indicates the fund had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Touchstone Small Pany, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Touchstone Small's Semi Deviation of 0.8062, coefficient of variation of 760.55, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1035 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. The entity has a beta of 0.17, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Touchstone Small's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Touchstone Small is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.22 |
Weak predictability
Touchstone Small Pany has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Touchstone Small time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Touchstone Small Pany price movement. The serial correlation of 0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Touchstone Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.22 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.25 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
Touchstone Small Pany lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Touchstone Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Touchstone Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Touchstone Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Touchstone Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Touchstone Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Touchstone Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Touchstone Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Touchstone Small mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Touchstone Small Lagged Returns
When evaluating Touchstone Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Touchstone Small mutual fund have on its future price. Touchstone Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Touchstone Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Touchstone Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Touchstone Small Pany.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Touchstone Mutual Fund
Touchstone Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Touchstone Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Touchstone with respect to the benefits of owning Touchstone Small security.
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