Techno Medical (Thailand) Market Value

TM Stock  THB 1.16  0.01  0.85%   
Techno Medical's market value is the price at which a share of Techno Medical trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Techno Medical Public investors about its performance. Techno Medical is selling for 1.16 as of the 29th of November 2024. This is a 0.85 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 1.16.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Techno Medical Public and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Techno Medical over a given investment horizon. Check out Techno Medical Correlation, Techno Medical Volatility and Techno Medical Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Techno Medical.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Techno Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Techno Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Techno Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Techno Medical 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Techno Medical's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Techno Medical.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Techno Medical on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Techno Medical Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in Techno Medical over 30 days. Techno Medical is related to or competes with Gulf Energy, Energy Absolute, WHA Public, TRC Construction, Bangkok Expressway, Lohakit Metal, and AJ Plast. Techno Medical Public Company Limited trades in medical supplies, tools, and equipment in Thailand More

Techno Medical Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Techno Medical's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Techno Medical Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Techno Medical Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Techno Medical's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Techno Medical's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Techno Medical historical prices to predict the future Techno Medical's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.16117.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.87116.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.28129.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.101.251.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Techno Medical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Techno Medical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Techno Medical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Techno Medical Public.

Techno Medical Public Backtested Returns

Techno Medical is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Techno Medical Public owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the firm had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have analyzed twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 14.55% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Techno Medical Public Variance of 4.62, risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,467) to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Techno Medical holds a performance score of 8 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The entity has a beta of -0.0422, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Techno Medical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Techno Medical is likely to outperform the market. Use Techno Medical Public total risk alpha, kurtosis, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to analyze future returns on Techno Medical Public.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.81  

Very good predictability

Techno Medical Public has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Techno Medical time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Techno Medical Public price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Techno Medical price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.81
Spearman Rank Test0.47
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Techno Medical Public lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Techno Medical stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Techno Medical's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Techno Medical returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Techno Medical has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Techno Medical regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Techno Medical stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Techno Medical stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Techno Medical stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Techno Medical Lagged Returns

When evaluating Techno Medical's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Techno Medical stock have on its future price. Techno Medical autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Techno Medical autocorrelation shows the relationship between Techno Medical stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Techno Medical Public.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Techno Stock

Techno Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Techno Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Techno with respect to the benefits of owning Techno Medical security.