Turner Emerging Growth Fund Market Value

TMCGX Fund  USD 15.62  0.30  1.96%   
Turner Emerging's market value is the price at which a share of Turner Emerging trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Turner Emerging Growth investors about its performance. Turner Emerging is trading at 15.62 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 1.96% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 15.32.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Turner Emerging Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Turner Emerging over a given investment horizon. Check out Turner Emerging Correlation, Turner Emerging Volatility and Turner Emerging Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Turner Emerging.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Turner Emerging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Turner Emerging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Turner Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Turner Emerging 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Turner Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Turner Emerging.
0.00
11/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Turner Emerging on November 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Turner Emerging Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Turner Emerging over 360 days. Turner Emerging is related to or competes with Fidelity Advisor, Financials Ultrasector, Mesirow Financial, and John Hancock. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of mid-sized com... More

Turner Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Turner Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Turner Emerging Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Turner Emerging Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Turner Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Turner Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Turner Emerging historical prices to predict the future Turner Emerging's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.6215.6216.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.0616.7017.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.3615.3516.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.6015.2315.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Turner Emerging. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Turner Emerging's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Turner Emerging's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Turner Emerging Growth.

Turner Emerging Growth Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Turner Mutual Fund to be very steady. Turner Emerging Growth owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.14, which indicates the fund had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Turner Emerging Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Turner Emerging's Semi Deviation of 0.8841, coefficient of variation of 791.88, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0988 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. The entity has a beta of 1.15, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Turner Emerging will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.46  

Average predictability

Turner Emerging Growth has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Turner Emerging time series from 28th of November 2023 to 26th of May 2024 and 26th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Turner Emerging Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Turner Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.46
Spearman Rank Test0.5
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.32

Turner Emerging Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Turner Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Turner Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Turner Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Turner Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Turner Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Turner Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Turner Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Turner Emerging mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Turner Emerging Lagged Returns

When evaluating Turner Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Turner Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Turner Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Turner Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Turner Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Turner Emerging Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Turner Mutual Fund

Turner Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Turner Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Turner with respect to the benefits of owning Turner Emerging security.
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